01/08/15 – Doomben

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We kick off the new racing season at Doomben this Saturday.  Reflecting on last season’s efforts, The Silk brained them in the first 6 months but felt the pinch in 2nd half.  Fingers crossed we can get things off to a good start here.

The track is rated a Good 4 and with fine weather forecast over the coming days we should see an upgrade.  The rail is in the true position.

Race 1

The price doesn’t excite me but I have to stick with Honesta (5).  We were on last start here where she found the line strongly to finish 3rd behind Shotacross The Bow.  She drew wide that day but gets in closer here with barrier 4.  That should see her race midfield and be in striking distance when entering the straight.  She should be ready to rock n roll 3rd up.

Other Hopes: 

Halls Creek (4) is the obvious danger.  He’s finished just behind Honesta in their past 2 starts after not having the best of luck.

Race 2

It’s hard to go past Satirical Lass (1) following her 5 length demolition job last start.  She has drawn the outside gate but there doesn’t appear to be much speed in this race so she should be able to get across with relative ease to lead.  She goes up in the weight but the 3kg for Alannah Fancourt helps.  Again the price on offer isn’t fantastic but she should be winning.

Other Hopes:

Moon And The Stars (3) is in good form and drawn nicely.

Doula (5) has been in average form but gets in with very little weight after the claim.

Balmoral Baby (7) is up in class but comes into this on the back of a win.

Race 3

Shotover River (2) won here over this trip last start and looks a winning chance again.  Unlike last time he’s drawn close in with barrier 3.  Luke Dittman who claims 3kg will be able to put the horse in a super position either in front or in the box seat with minimal fuss.  If he can control the tempo then he’ll be awfully hard to hold out.  He has a top record at the track and trip.

Other Hopes:

Freton (3) pushed Shotover River last time late to just miss out.  This old stager is always competitive.

Kaiser Franz (9) won for us last time over this trip.  It’s an up and coming stayer who can handle the class rise.  Not sure he’s weight that well compared to previous 2 mentioned.

Holly Holy (7) has been in very consistent form lately.  Won last start over the trip.

Race 4

Honey Toast (4) has been racing in good form since resuming.  I like his effort in finishing 2nd last start to Feltre when stepping up in class.  He found the line that day despite having to be steadied when getting in the clear.  He’s drawn barrier 11 which isn’t ideal but there seems to be a decent amount of speed in the race which will help his hard finish.  Luke Dittman takes the ride and the 3kg claim gets him in with just 53kg.

Other Hopes:

L’Entrecote (3) has been consistent since resuming with some close finishes behind Feltre.  Ran into trouble last start after drawing wide. Gets a better run here.

Lock’s Legend (1) will improve after his 1st up run.  Very good 2nd up record.

Budget Bender (2) will get a good run and will be on the speed.

Race 5

This is a mongrel of a race.  There’s any number of chances here and the right move would be to move onto race 6 but where’s the fun there?  I’m going with Katelette (9).  She won nicely at Beaudesert 2 starts back and then finished strongly to just miss here last start.  She’s drawn barrier 1 for Bridget Grylls which should see the horse get a great run behind a decent speed.

Other Hopes:

Lesley’s Choice (1) will be in this for a long way and may be too good for these.  However I’m concerned about the 59kg and the wide gate.

Pandora Charm (6) won last start and gets weight relief.

Highly Geared (5) is racing well and last start effort in harder race puts it right in this.

Race 6

It’s the boys turn to try to get a metro win here over 1110m.  Sony Legend (10) won easily last start in a class 3 here over 1200m by 3.3 lengths.  He took the lead and just kept going.  I’m hoping for a similar play here.  He’s only a lightly raced 5 year old but he has won 4 of 7.  He’ll do me.

***Among the plethora of scratchings is our top pick Sony Legend.  Disappointing as I thought it was close to a stand out.   I’ll promote Dantga (13) to top pick.  It should get a sweet run in front now.***

Other Hopes:

Dantga (13) is undefeated in 3 starts.  Will race on the speed and be in it for a long way.

Young Fun (5) has drawn well and has performed well in better races than this in the past.

Say I Won’t (3) is a sneaky hope at odds that has performed well up north.

Flight In Space (1) ran alright in the Kirby at Grafton and you’d think that is good enough for a race like this.

Race 7

Suit (12) resumed 3 weeks ago after 434 days off the scene.  He put in an excellent showing after such a long time to finish 2nd.  He’ll take great benefit from that run and will be all the better 2nd up.  He’s drawn barrier 3 for Jimmy Byrne which gives him every opportunity to get a sweet run.  He’ll be hard to hold out.

Other Hopes:

Murder Of Crows (11) has changed stables and it will be interesting to see how they ride him.  Formerly a get back, run on type which usually doesn’t suit Doomben.  However strong form lines down south.

Zaha’s Ace (6) will go forward and give them something to catch.  Races well here.

Jopa (3) was poor last start but can be forgiven for that.  Has performed in better races than this.

Race 8

Each time Feltre (1) has raced recently there has been a “test” for it.  Each time he has made a mockery of that test.  He’s been kind to us lately and I’m sticking with him here.  Last start he stepped up to 1640m and won with 58kg.  He drops back here to 1350m and will have to carry 59kg but I think he’s up to it.  Ryan Wiggins will be able to give him a great run just behind the speed which should be solid if the last time Lucky Tom and Flamboyer met is anything to go by.  Especially given they’ve both drawn wide and will want to go forward.  Feltre is a horse in form and I don’t see why we should jump off now.

Other Hopes:

Lucky Tom (6) was heavily backed last start and almost pulled off a win.  In good form but I’m concerned he may use a bit of gas finding the front.

Quick Snitzel (8) resumes for new stable and may need run.  However class and a nice run from barrier 5 gives him a chance.

Lauterbrunnen (11) finished strongly for 3rd last start.  If can settle closer from the better barrier then can be a player.

Best Bets

Race 1 – Honesta (5)

Race 2 – Satirical Lass (1)

Race 7 – Suit (12)

24/07/15 – Ipswich Swich On/Turn To Me Race Day

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I don’t normally bother with Friday racing but since I’ll be attending the Swich On/Turn To Me luncheon and race day at the Ipswich Turf Club then I thought it best I do.  It should be a good day with Rugby League legends Brent Tate, Scott Prince and Jharal Yow Yeh in attendance.

The track as of Thursday morning was rated a Soft 7 with the rail out 0.5m.  Showers look likely to continue so we’ll definitely need to be looking for horses that handle a wet track.

***Track and Weather Update Friday:  The track is rated a Soft 6.  Showers are a chance today.***

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Race 1

Tough maiden to kick things off.  The Barry Baldwin trained Motion Granted (5) was good on debut at the Gold Coast.  After taking the lead early on and racing at a genuine clip, he was entitled to weaken in the run home.  However he showed plenty of ticker and kept fighting to run 2nd by a nose.  He’ll be improved 2nd up and shoud be able to race in a forward position.  Breeding suggests he’ll handle a rain affected track.

Other Hopes:

Amex Image (1) finished quite a way off them on debut.  However he did race 3 wide on that occasion.  Draws nicely and won a trial well leading into this.

Fell From Heaven (9) has finished in the placings 7 of 10 starts.  Wasn’t far off Motion Granted last start.

Kynance Cove (10) found the 800m here too slick on debut.  Finished off well suggesting the 1200m here will be more to her liking.

Race 2

Matt Dunn’s Here’s To Luxury (1) has had 3 starts and has been close up in all 3.  That’s something that can’t be said about most of the other horses.  Although he’s drawn barrier 11, there doesn’t look a great deal of speed engaged so I can see Jeff Lloyd being able to scoot across and take up a prominent position.  That’s always an advantage at Ipswich.

Other Hopes:

Locomotion (8) has drawn wide which could be tricky.  She was quite good resuming when fighting on here.

Za Bubbles (5) won a trial recently and will race up on the speed from a good gate.

Emma’s Pocket (7) will settle back from a wide gate which isn’t ideal.  However she finished strongly the start before a spell. Jockey unknown quantity.

Race 3

Gee whiz!  A full field of 16 maidens over 1666m.  It doesn’t get much tougher than this.  I’m going with Casino Gold (1).  He’s been finishing strongly in the 2 starts he’s had since a spell.  The step up to this distance looks the logical step and 1 he’s capable of taking.  Barrier 12 could pose a few problems for Alana Fancourt who claims 1.5kg however I think she can get to a decent spot in the front half of the field.  He prefers the sting out of the track which adds to his appeal.

Other Hopes:

Torbay (6) was disappointing 1st up.  However drawn well and Sydney form while average places him well in this field.

Mantecado (2) has been racing quite well over this trip in recent starts.  Blinkers go for the 1st time and drawn well.

Forward Strike (8) has been thereabouts recently.  Distance suits.

Race 4

Spirit Torque (3) drops back in grade after finishing off well to finish 2nd in a class 3 at the Sunshine Coast last start.  Back to a class 2 here and with a light weight, she’ll be hard to toss.  She’s drawn barrier 3 which will give Tiffani Brooker the opportunity to race on the speed.  She beat Bergdorf 2 starts back and meets that horse 6kg lighter here.

Other Hopes:

Maraska (2) finished strongly last start to narrowly miss beating Bergdorf.

Bergdorf (1) has drawn awkwardly but enters this on the back of a win.

Faiconi (4) wasn’t far off Bergdorf and Maraska last start.  Weight advantage on that pair.

Race 5

Magic Sam (4) has raced against some decent opposition in his 3 starts since a spell and has acquitted himself quite well.  Last start here and over this trip he fought strongly to finish 2nd.  He should be ready to win now.  Drawn barrier 5 for Jeff Lloyd he should be able to get a good run just behind the leaders.  He seems well weighted with 54kg.

***Magic Sam has been scratched.  I’ll promote Bentles (2) to top pick.***

Other Hopes:

Bentles (2) was good resuming when finishing 2nd here.  Likes this track and distance.

Superstition (1) needs to lift following 2 average runs.  However has the ability to do so.

Lost Thief (3) has won only once in 18 starts however is more often than not around the mark.

Race 6

Matt Dunn’s American Hussler (3) resumes here after showing ability in it’s 1st campaign.  He won his 1st 3 starts before competing well against tougher horses.  His last win was in class 3 company so this is no tougher.  They should go fairly quickly in front and I think Glen Colless can settle just off that speed and come over the top of them.  He’s unbeaten on wet tracks.

Other Hopes:

Queen Of Georgia (8) will be tough to catch and has been good her past 2.

Hair Of The Dog (5) will go forward from the wide gate and be in it a long way. Improved 2nd up.

By The Vines (1) is a former Victorian who resumes after a fair break. May need the run but form down south warrants consideration.

Race 7

Windsea (1) was dominant on debut when winning by 2.8 lengths at the Gold Coast.  He was spelled after that and resumes here.  He’s drawn wide which isn’t ideal but he has the necessary speed to get across and take up a prominent position, if not lead.  I’m waiting on the barrier draw for Saturday’s Gold Coast meeting as he’s nominated there also.  The wide barrier here may see him racing at the GC.

***Windsea has been scratched.  I’m disappointed with that but it was always on the cards. I’ll promote Vinnie Loves Me (2) to top pick.***

Other Hopes:

Vinnie Loves Me (2) broke his maiden here last start.  Will race forward.

Ceda Miss (4) brings reasonable NSW form here.  However formerly of the Sam Kavanagh stable so query about that form given recent findings.

Macspick (7) broke his maiden at Toowoomba last start. This is harder however.

Race 8

This is a tough way to finish the day.  I’m going with Blatant (2).  In his 2nd run for Matt Dunn he really found the line at the Gold Coast over 1400m.  The rise to 1666m looks ideal.  He’s drawn barrier 4 but will probably settle midfield or worse.  There should be a reasonable speed here so that will allow him to finish off strongly.

Other Hopes:

Want For Nothing (10) was finding the line last start over this distance when copped interference 200m from home.  Wide draw a concern.

Knight Errant (5) has raced well in his past 2 starts with the horse breaking his maiden last start.  Up in class but this isn’t strong.

Street Fever (1) has been racing well at Toowoomba.  However has drawn wide and wet track exposure is limited.

Best Bets

Race 2 – Here’s To Luxury (1)

Race 6 – American Hussler (3)

18/07/15 – Doomben

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We return to Doomben this Saturday after an improved showing there last week.  We found 3 winners and placed in the other 5 races.  The track as of Thursday is rated a Good 4.  While it’s bitterly cold, there is next to no chance of rain over the coming days.  The rail is out 5.5m.

Race 1

The 2 year olds step up to 1640m and I think the winner will come out of the race won by Shotacross The Bow 2 weeks ago at the Sunshine Coast.  I’m going with Honesta (12).  She finished 4th by 4.7 lengths to Shotacross The Bow.  She was 1st up that day after 266 days and ran on fairly well after racing from the back and 3 wide.  She’ll be improved 2nd up and meets those that beat her better at the weights.

Other Hopes:

Shotacross The Bow (1) clearly finished the best when winning but rises from 52.5kg to 58kg.

Wicked Snippets (5) ran on well for 3rd in the race in question.

Jack’s Point (9) has had just the 1 start and finished off the 1350m quite well. Will be improved 2nd up.

Race 2

Excellantes (1) is a better class horse than these and should be winning.  He won at this track and trip last start in nice style.  He does his best work here and with a dry track and barrier 1, he’ll have no excuses.  The 3kg claim for Luke Dittman is the cherry on top.

Other Hopes:

Zaha’s Ace (5) is undefeated in 3 starts at the track.  Will race forward but wide gate may test. Good last start.

Prettyfamous (6) raced well last start in the Ipswich Dash won by Rock Royalty. That horse has since won Ramornie.  May be suspect last 100m.

Facile Tigre (2) has been very ordinary but showed a glimpse of improvement last start.

Race 3

The speed looks fairly willing here in this 1110m race.  Total Authority (8) resumed recently for a new stable and finished a credible 4th behind Iona Fast One at the Sunshine Coast.  She performs better 2nd up and the firmer track will be to her liking.  She gets in with just 51kg after the claim for Brooke Stower.  From barrier 5 she’ll be able to camp just behind the hot speed.

Other Hopes:

Speedy Sam (7) races well on the fresh side and has been in good form in lesser grades.

Le Val (2) resumes here and races well fresh.  Raced very well in tougher grades before break.

Liberation (11) is a head scratcher.  Has the ability but fails to put it together.  If it turns up then you couldn’t discount.

Race 4

In Masquerade (5) won last time out over this track and trip.  She fought strongly in the straight and looked to have her opponents covered.  Her 2 starts prior were also very good indicating that she’s a mare in form.

Other Hopes:

Shotover River (3) wasn’t far off In Masquerade last start and gets 3kg weight relief with jockey change.

Holly Holy (8) has been thereabouts recently and can run the trip.

Miss Husson (4) will appreciate this level of racing and did beat In Masquerade a few months ago.

Race 5

I’m sticking fat with Feltre (2).  I said prior to his last start win at the Sunshine Coast that we’d find out whether he was the real deal or not.  Well his 2 length win answered that.  He’s in terrific form and while rising 3kg, I think he can continue his winning ways.  He’s drawn to get a top run behind a decent speed.

Other Hopes:

L’Entrecote (3) ran on well when 2nd to Feltre last start.  Is in good form and meets Feltre a hell of a lot better at the weights.

Tracey’s Angel (8) races well over this trip and was solid behind Lordag last time out.

Budget Bender (1) disappointed me last start when I had it as a BB.  Up in weight but is consistent.

Race 6

The Tattersall’s Mile is a very even affair.  I’m going to forgive the last start fail by Epic (2).  Somehow he was caught wide from barrier 4 and was never in it with the muddling pace.  He’s previous form in stronger races was very good.  He’ll appreciate coming back to Doomben where he has enjoyed plenty of success.  The dry track will also be to his liking.  From barrier 1 Tegan Harrison will be able to settle the horse midfield behind a reasonable speed.  Hopefully the horse and Tegan perform to what they’re capable of.

Other Hopes:

Trakstar (3) won at the Sunshine Coast last start over this trip.  Enjoys racing at Doomben but gate could pose problems.

Jetset Lad (1) won the Brisbane Cup 2 starts back. Drops in distance here but can be in the finish.

Blue Lion (11) has drawn poorly but has shown enough in 2 local starts to suggest he is capable.

Race 7

I’m going with Caellum (2) here.  He resumed last week and put in a reasonable effort after racing 3 wide throughout.  He has a very good 2nd up record and will appreciate the step up to 1350m.  He has been in the quinella in 6 of 7 times at the track and trip.  He’s drawn barrier 6 for Sam Payne who claims 2kg.  From there I’d say he’ll be able to settle 2 or 3 pairs back.

Other Hopes:

Flamboyer (4) has resumed in nice fashion and the money came for it last start.  Unfortunately for us he didn’t win.  Wide gate but will race in forward position.

Lock’s Legend (1) was in cracking form last preparation.  May need the run 1st up and has a big weight but certainly can’t discount.

Lucy Tom (6) takes on the older horses but was very good last start.  Wide gate a concern but will race forward with little weight.

Race 8

I’m sticking with Denarius (5) after the impressive effort he put in 1st up.  Not much went right that day.  Firstly he was vetted at the gates.  That’s never a good sign.  He then ended up 2nd last in the run which basically cruelled any hope he had.  However to his credit he really found the line to finish 4th over the unsuitable 1000m.  2nd up here and over 1200m he’ll be tough to toss.  He’s drawn barrier 6 which should give him the chance to find a nice position behind a hot speed.  They’ll be doing their best to hold him out in the straight.

***Disappointing to see Denarius scratched.  It was the only horse I wanted in the race.  I’ll put Vienna Royale (4) on top but with not much confidence***

Other Hopes:

Vienna Royale (4) gets the gun run from the inside gate.  Nice win 1st up.

Outback Saga (14) is consistent but doesn’t win often.  Nice 2nd last start.

Another Whiskey (7) is in ripping form and defeated some of these last start.  Prefers wet?

Best Bets

Race  2 – Excellantes (1)

Race 5 – Feltre (2)

Race 8 – Denarius (5)

11/07/15 – Doomben

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We return to Doomben for this Saturday’s meeting.  The track as of Thursday is rated a Good 4 with the rail out 3.5m.  Showers are a possibility over the coming days so it will pay to monitor that situation.  Worse case scenario would be Soft 5.

Race 1

1. Lesley’s Choice (5)

2. Aerobar (9)

3. Doula (4)

4. Kalandula (1)

Race 2

1. Flamboyer (7)

2. Mr Jetset (10)

3. Suit (11)

4. Big Decision (4)

Race 3

1. Kaiser Franz (7)

2. Kobi Creek (2)

3. More Energy (10)

4. Holly Holy (5)

Race 4

1. Dram Of Red (2)

2. Flamenco (12)

3. Jam Toast (1)

4. Privlaka (8)

Race 5

1. Seeking More (2)

2. The Storeman (3)

3. Rocky King (1)

4. Knight Templar (7)

Race 6

1. Budget Bender (6)

2. Lordag (15)

3. Soros (4)

4. Write Cheek (8)

Race 7

1. Riva De Lago (1)

2. Pillar Of Creation (4)

3. Real Surreal (2)

4. Our Boy Nicholas (11)

Race 8

1. Golden Falls (10)

2. Mischievous Devil (2)

3. Board Director (6)

4. Duporth Jack (10)

Best Bets

Race 5 – Seeking More (2)

Race 8 – Golden Falls (10)

04/07/15 – Sunshine Coast

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Racing this week comes to us from the Sunshine Coast.  The track as of Thursday is rated a Heavy 8.  Clear skies are predicted over the coming days so we should see the track upgraded to the Soft range.  The rail is in the true position.

***Track and Weather Update Saturday:  The track is rated a Soft 7.  Clear skies predicted.***

Race 1

Elusive Catch (3) won with ease last time out at the Gold Coast.  She meets a few of those that she put to the sword that day and it’s hard to see them turning the tables on her.  She remains at 55kg and should be more suited to the wide open spaces of Corbould Park.  She loves a wet track which she’ll get here.

Other Hopes: 

Water Kiss (5) will roll forward from barrier 4 and will be in this for a long way. Enjoys the sting out of the track.

Athena Fire (6) will race in a forward position from the good gate. Nice effort behind Elusive Catch last start.

Cruz By (11) is better over further but can get through the ground and will finishing strongly.

Race 2

Fiery Heights (5) has finished 2nd in both his career starts.  He’s an up and coming type that finished quite well last start in the heavy going after racing 3 wide without cover.  The step up to 1400m should be to his liking.  He’s drawn barrier 6 which should see Tim Bell racing in the first handful or so of horses.

Other Hopes:

Sugar Hit (15) drops in class on her last start at the Gold Coast where she finished 7th to Harlem River.  She’ll put herself in the race by going forward. Last 100m or so could test.

Supreme Jet (2) brings very good form from North QLD.  Hasn’t faced a wet track.

Real Good (1) seems to always be around the mark in these 2 year old races.  However drawn wide.

Race 3

Addictive Habit (1) landed some big bets at the Gold Coast a few weeks ago when he finished strongly to win over 1800m.  He drops back to 1600m here which is a distance he has performed very well over with 8 quinella finishes in 12 starts.  He rises in weight but the claim for Luke Dittman will see him only carry 1kg more than last start.  He enjoys the sting out of the track and will race in a forward position.

Other Hopes:

Epic (2) finished 4th behind Addictive Habit last start. His form prior has been very consistent.  Won’t want it too wet.

Avalanches (6) won well last start. May be tested with the class rise.

Trakstar (5) disappointed last start but was alright before that.  Soft 7 is as wet as he wants it.

Race 4

Aussies Love Sport (3) joins the Toby Edmonds stable after racing in Sydney.  His form down there has been quite good with a win at Rosehill and a narrow loss to Dublin Lass this campaign.  After carrying no less than 58kg, he’ll enjoy the drop to 54kg here.  He’s drawn the outside for Paul Hammersley but I would think he’ll go forward and settle 3rd or 4th.  His recent win was on a Soft 7 surface so he should handle these conditions.

Other Hopes:

I thought Rock Royalty and Excellantes were the only horses capable of beating Aussies Love Sport and they’ve been scratched.

Race 5

We’ll find out whether Feltre (5) is the real deal here.  His form at the provincials has been excellent and it’s only logical he makes the step up to Saturday racing.  Last start he won by 2 lengths at Doomben with relative ease.  He’s drawn barrier 4 for Ryan Wiggins which should allow for a sweet run.  His record at the track is super as his is ability on a soft track.

Other Hopes:

Allknight Saint (1) has 59kg and a wide gate to deal with.  However he loves the track and will take great benefit from his good 1st up run.

L’Entrecote (2) has been good in 2 runs back.  Likes track.

Neuschwanstein (8) is in good form in weaker grades.  Enjoys a wet track.  Wide gate a concern.

Race 6

The Queensland Cup over 3200m is a bit of a stinker.  However it will be made more interesting if they employ similar tactics as last time on Lovethebeaches (1).  She opened up an incredible lead with a bold front running display.  At the 800m she was 25 lengths in front! She ended up winning by 5 lengths.  She’s won over the trip and handles the wet.  At the end of the day I can’t help cheering for a horse that takes a race on like that.

Other Hopes:

Major Major (2) has won over 2400m on heavy a couple times in Sydney.  Will be whacking away.

Mister Impatience (3) won by 7 lengths over 3000m at Ballarat.

Pop ‘N’ Scotch (5) won at Ipswich recently but other form has been ordinary. Placed in this race last year.

Race 7

A big field of 16 2 year olds go around here over 1000m.  The speed should well and truly be on.  For that reason I’m going with Denarius (5).  He resumes here and normally I would say the 1000m is a bit short for him.  However the hot speed will favour his fast finishing ways.  From a nice gate he’ll be able to settle midfield before flying home in the straight.  He defeated Worthy Cause over 1350m last campaign so you know he’ll be strong late.

Other Hopes:

Beau Jet (2) is another that will be favoured by a strong speed. Will be finishing strongly.  Loves the track and form is quite good.

Outback Saga (14) disappointed last start but prior form was good.

I Am Boss (1) is rarely out of the placings and won well at Toowoomba last start.  Drawn to get a sweet run.

Race 8

Another big field of speedsters go around here over 1000m.  I’d be surprised if Lesley’s Choice wasn’t scratched as Luke Dittman has been named to ride it and Glenbawn Dame.  Glenbawn Dame (2) has drawn the plum gate of barrier 2 so I’d say that’s the way Team Edmonds will go.  It’s also the way I’m going.  Last start at Ipswich he went against usual tactics and tried to lead Hidden Pearl.   The tactic failed and he weakened.  However the start prior showed what he is really capable of when ridden correctly.  He finished 2nd to Dublin Lass and beat home Hidden Pearl.  That’s excellent form for this.  From barrier 2 Dittman who claims 3kg can take a sit behind the speed and finish strongly over them.

Other Hopes:

Time To Exceed (13) was winning for fun last campaign.  Will race forward and look a winning chance coming for home.

Stay Schtum (5) is a knockout hope resuming.  Lost narrowly to Rock Royalty last start before a break.

Hallside Rose (14) has been disappointing in past 2 starts but capable on her day.

Best Bets 

Race 1 – Elusive Catch (3)

Race 3 – Addictive Habit (1)

 

01/07/15 – Ipswich

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Track – Soft 6

Rail – Out 4m

Weather – Possible afternoon showers

 

Race 1 – Onemore For Wilson (1)

Race 2 – Patriarch (8)    (Tip courtesy of T.Quinn)

Race 3 – Provocateur (2)

Race 4 – Biantic (3)

Race 5 – Max It Out (4)

Race 6 – The Thomas Affair (3)

Race 7 – Apple Thief (2)

Race 8 – Epsilon (1)

27/06/15 – Doomben

EagleFarmRace7RockyKing-DamianBrowne

Last Saturday saw the end of this year’s Winter Carnival.  Despite a few issues in regards to balloting and good horses missing out on Group 1 races, I think the carnival would be considered a success.  We’re back to regular racing this Saturday at Doomben.

The track as of Thursday is rated a Soft 5.  Weather forecasters are saying that there’s a fair chance showers will take place Friday and Saturday.  So it’s reasonable to think that the track will be in the soft range.  The rail is out 1m.

***Track and Weather Update Saturday morning: The track is rated a Good 4.  We have avoided showers thus far but there is still the possibility of them today.***

Race 1

Gerald Ryan can produce a horse 1st up and I think he can do that here with 1st starter Rainbow Nation (12).  This expensive colt has had 2 trials in Sydney leading into his debut here.  He won fairly easily at his most recent effort.  He’s drawn barrier 8 for Jim Byrne who will hopefully settle the horse in the 1st 5.

Other Hopes:

Real Good (1) has been in good form recently beating Handfast and finishing 2nd to Wicked Intent last start.  Gives the others plenty of weight but has drawn to get a nice run.

Privlaka (2) resumed last week after being gelded with a nice win at the midweeks.  Drawn to get a good run just behind the speed.

Certain Ellie (6) has raced in better quality races down south.  She was galloped on in the Lancaster but has since won a trial by a space.

Race 2

You beauty!  We’ve got a distance raffle to deal with.  I’m sticking with Kobi Creek (10).  He finished 3rd in the Provincial Stayers Cup on Ipswich Cup day.  He was shuffled back throughout the run and was near last on the turn.  He came wide and finished strongly.  His form prior to this was very consistent and his record over this distance is excellent with 2 wins and 3 placings from 5 starts.  He’s drawn barrier 2 which should allow Jim Byrne to race in a forward position.  Hopefully he doesn’t get the hot shoe shuffle again!

Other Hopes:

In Masquerade (7) finished 4th in the Provincial.  The run was full of merit as he was forced to go forward after racing wide.  Showed guts to fight on.  Drawn much better.

Shotover River (3) was a shot duck in the Ipswich Cup after racing wide.  Wide barrier again a concern but this is a drop in class.

Lucky Liaison (5) brings Sydney form here.  Albeit average form but this isn’t a strong race.

Race 3

A big field of 16 maidens all chasing the $100,000 on offer makes for an interesting affair.  Mchawi (4) is ready to kick the maiden door in.  He’s placed in 7 of 9 career starts and has been no more than a length off the winners in his past 5.  Those races are arguably a lot stronger than what most of these have been competing in up here. He’s drawn wide but has the necessary speed to cross and take up a forward position for Michael Cahill.

Other Hopes:

Savanero (1) brings good Sydney form here.  Blinkers go on for the 1st time.

Vinnie Loves Me (15) has placed in 4 of her career starts.  Resumed recently and will take great benefit from that.  Will go forward and put itself in the race.

Wisconsin (10) narrowly lost 1st up and has since trialled well.

Race 4

This race has caused me some grief.  I have looked at it for a considerable time and nothing is jumping out and saying “pick me”.  It’s a very even affair where I can make a case for any number of horses.  Unfortunately I can also find negatives with them so for that reason I won’t be getting carried away here.  I’m going with Lucky Tom (1).  He’s been racing in much tougher races than this.  I like the fact he’ll go forward.  Last start in the Guineas over 1600m he drew wide and used up a lot of gas to go forward.  He understandably weakened.  Back to 1350m and in an easier race at set weights should give him his chance.

Other Hopes: 

Mywayorhighway (2) will race in a forward position and prove hard to run down.  Last 100m could be a concern however.

Savannah Dream (13) won for us at the midweek meeting last week.  She’s up in class but has been racing in good form and should get a nice run from barrier 3.

Murt The Flirt (3) was ok in the Guineas and if can get in from the tricky gate can be a player.

Race 5

Based on his past 2 starts, Rocky King (1) looks to have got back to the horse we all know.  Last start at the Sunshine Coast over 1000m he took up his customary front running role and never looked like getting passed.  From barrier 8 Mitchell Wood who claims 2kg will roll forward and take up the lead.  Two starts back in the Lightning he was harrassed by Thinkhesaurus but still managed to fight on for 2nd.  He had the others covered in that race, some he meets here.  He’s the one they have to pass in the straight.

Other Hopes:

Territory (2) resumed in the Lightning and put in an ok performance.  Will be better 2nd up and gets a nice gate.  However may find this a bit short.

Seeking More (4) likes this track and distance.  Drawn well and is always thereabouts in these types of races.

The Storeman (5) has a great record here but has drawn wide and may have to use a bit of gas to find a spot.

Race 6

Although Hidden Pearl (10) was very, verrrry costly to me last time at Ipswich, I’m sticking with her here.  She was nutted not far out from the winning post over 1100m.  I mentioned it last time but I was impressed by her previous run over 1200m here.  She led and although finishing 3rd, she did find a decent kick in the straight.  She’s drawn barrier 11 but she’ll be able to get across and lead or box seat.  She handles a soft track well.  Will carry just 52kg after the claim for Bridget Grylls.

Other Hopes:

Bymonashee (2) has been racing in Stakes quality races and will enjoy the drop in class.  Will be finding the line.

Dream Of Slips (5) is a consistent type and will race forward and will be in this for a long way.

Our Boy Nicholas (1) resumes here.  Prefers longer but can show up fresh.  Watch for him late.

Race 7

Tukiyo (4) has preferred to race over shorter trips than the 1350m here but her past 2 starts have been full of merit.  She finished 3rd in the Group 3 Glenlogan here over 1350m before getting nutted right on the line last time out at Ipswich.  She’s drawn barrier 11 but should be able to get across and lead without too much drama.  With just 51kg after the claim for Emma Ljung, she’ll be hard to get by in the run home.

Other Hopes:

Riva De Lago (1) has been excellent in his past 2 starts.  He’s really found the line.  Drawn wide here and will get back which is a concern.

Pillar Of Creation (3) hasn’t been far away in better quality races than this.  Should get a nice run for Tim Bell.  Does he have the dash though?

Jazz Song (5) is a quality mare on her day.  Last start 5th in Group 2 company was good for a race of this standard.

Race 8

Dubawi Dream (5) goes for a hattrick of wins here and I can’t see why he can’t.  He has been very good since joining the Steve O’dea stable.  He has been carrying big weights and gets plenty of relief here with 55.5kg.  Tim Bell will be able to settle in the leading pack of runners from barrier 2 which will give this horse every possible chance.  He will appreciate the sting out of the ground.

Other Hopes:

Heart Of Warrior (10) is lightly raced and shows plenty of upside.  Has won 3 of 5 starts and will put itself in the race by racing forward.  Big weight drop.

In The Genes (12) defeated Heart Of Warrior last start.  Has drawn wide but still gets in with a light weight.

Billy Aucash (2) draws to get a great run.  Doesn’t win often but is consistent.  Can’t win this, probably won’t win again.

Best Bets

Race 1 – Rainbow Nation (12)

Race 5 – Rocky King (1)

Race 8 – Dubawi Dream (5)