02/09/15 – Sunshine Coast

suncoast

Brisbane’s midweek meeting comes to us from Corbould Park on the Sunshine Coast this week.  A large amount of rain was dumped on the area on the weekend leaving the track in a Heavy state.  However clear skies are forecast so an upgrade to Soft 5/6 is on the cards.  The rail is in the true position.

This is an average meeting and one I’m not overly keen to get involved in.  However there’s 7 races and 7 winners so hopefully we can find a few.

Race 1

 Martial Art (7) has had just the 2 starts and performed well at both.  Last start at Doomben he was slow away and had to work hard early to improve through the field.  While entering the straight in 2nd, I thought he did quite well to fight on for 5th given the work he did early.  Jimmy Byrne takes the ride which is a positive move and I’d suggest he’ll go forward from barrier 8 to sit 2nd or 3rd in the run.  That will give the horse every possible chance.

Other Hopes:

Ofcourse She Does (10) has put in 2 good displays since resuming.  After settling back, she’s found the line well. That will suit this track.  May find herself settling closer to the action from barrier 1.

Flinders Deagon (2) seems to have come back a better horse this time in.  After 2 trial wins, he finished a half length 2nd at the Gold Coast.  Will be improved from that and draws to get a great run.

Syamantaka Mani (5) resumes here.  It looked the goods when finishing strongly on debut before failing miserably on a heavy track.  Will get a drying surface here so watch for support.

Race 2

Captain Red (1) put in a bold showing 1st up recently at Ipswich.  After crossing from a wide gate, he was in front all the way except for the shadows of the post.  He’ll be improved 2nd up and from barrier 3, Jim Byrne will be able to give him a great run on the pace.

Other Hopes:

War Baby (10) has no weight here after the claim for Brooke Stower.  Has put in some very good displays, namely the Gold Coast and Ipswich races.  Will go forward from barrier 8.

Dreamward Bound (3) looked the winner last start here before being run down right on the line.  Blinkers go on for the 1st time and from the nice draw will be a player.

King Of The Castle (5) resumes here on the back of 2 good trials.  Drawn well but has been trying for a long time to get it’s 1st win.

Race 3

Zaria’s Fire (7) put in an eye catching display at Ipswich last start over 1700m.  After jumping awkwardly she was well back in the run.  However she really let down in the straight to just miss the win.  She meets Casino Gold better at the weights for beating that horse well last start.  She’ll appreciate the longer straight at the Sunshine Coast and gets the services of Michael Cahill.

Other Hopes:

Casino Gold (2) is still trying to break his maiden after 17 starts.  However he’s usually around the mark with 8 placings.  He enjoys the sting out of the track.

Akacheta Lee (1) has 59kg to carry here and has never raced over this trip.  However put in a good showing last start at the Gold Coast over 1400m.  Will go forward and give them something to catch.

Lord Chamberlain (4) has drawn wide but has done some of it’s better work around this distance range.

Race 4

Soldier Of War (2) has run 2nd in all 3 of it’s Brisbane starts.  A nose was the distance that it came up short in it’s 1st 2 starts.  Last start at Ipswich he finished strongly after not having the clearest passage in the straight.  I think the 1600m looks ideal now given the strong finishing efforts it’s shown.  The more open spaces of the Sunshine Coast track will be to his liking.  Tim Bell takes the ride.

Other Hopes:

Biantic (1) has been around the mark in most of it’s 7 starts.  Looked good last start when finishing well for 2nd here over this trip.

Don’t Tell Mama (3) finished off just as well as Biantic last start when finishing 3rd.  Blinkers on for the first time may do the trick.

She’s A Ruby (6) is on trial at the distance.  Put in a couple of good runs a few starts back and will find this easier than last start.

Race 5

Comacina (1) put in an improved showing last start here when finishing 2nd.  The rise to 1600m seemed to agree with him.  I think we’ll see similar tactics used here.  From barrier 3 he can sit just behind the speed before charging to the line.  It shouldn’t be forgotten that this is a horse that has competed in far harder races in it’s career than this so a return to form isn’t beyond it.

Other Hopes:

Putapavonit (6) finished strongly at Ipswich last start over 1350m.  It will certainly appreciate the 1600m here.  A distance it has won 3 of 5 at.  3rd up should be ready to fire.

Will’s Choice (4) is suspect at the trip however this is a weak race.  Will race forward which could be of benefit given the lack of speed.

Pat’s Boy (8) needs to lift but has done some of it’s best work at this track and distance.

Race 6

I’m prepared to forgive the 1st up fail of Cannizzaro (4).  It was his 1st run after a 300 day spell so he may just have needed the blow.  He can mix his form but he has put in some very good efforts in the past.  Last time in work he won a couple of 900m races at the Gold Coast and wasn’t far off Headwater Country over this trip at Ipswich.  He’s a speedy type who will go forward.  Having a senior jockey like Tim Bell could smarten him up.

Other Hopes:

Explore The World (1) was good 2 starts back here.  This is easier than previous starts.  Nice claim for apprentice and should be handy. Query on jockey.

My Bling (5) will appreciate racing at her home track where she has a great record.  She needs to lift on recent efforts.

Silent Duke (6) may find this a bit short 1st up.  However he’ll be finding the line and could very well run over the top of these.

Race 7

Suit (10) has come back from a very long break in good style.  After 434 days off the scene, he almost won 1st up.  He then put in 2 more very good showings in Saturday open company.  He finds himself in a class 3 here with just 1.5kg more than the minimum weight.  He’ll need a touch of luck from barrier 10 but will be finding the line.

Other Hopes:

Trubia (12) will be suited by the Sunshine Coast track.  He gets back but will be really finding the line.  This is a drop in class.

Red Bowers (9) has been in good form since resuming.  Drawn to get a good run.

Storm Fighter (1) is a consistent type with a solid record at the track.  Will be finding the line.

Best Bets

Race 3 – Zaria’s Fire (7)

Race 7 – Suit (10)

29/08/15 – Doomben

doomb

We’ve had a good racing surface at Doomben in recent weeks.  That won’t be the case this Saturday with rain forecast for Thursday, Friday and Saturday.  There’s some conflicting information about from BOM and Weatherzone in regards to the amount of rain that will occur.  Obviously it will pay to monitor the situation but it’s fair to say that we should be looking for horses that can handle soft ground at the very least.   The rail is out 1m.

***Track and Weather update Saturday morning:  The track is rated a Good 4.  As usual the forecasters have got things wrong and the rain that was forecast for Thursday and Friday didn’t eventuate.  They are forecasting afternoon showers today though.  Whether they arrive or not is another matter.***

Race 1

Kaypers (2) can get the day off to a winning start.  He’s already very short in the market but this looks his race.  He has finished 2nd to Shotover River in his past 2 starts over this trip.  He ran on strongly to just miss out in the latest.  Michael Cahill can sit just behind the leaders to get a sweet run.  Put simply he looks to have something on the rest of these.

Other Hopes:

Hot Saga (3) will get it’s preferred surface here.  Was 21 days between runs last time so I’m prepared to say that was the reason he didn’t really come on at the end.

Flying Lucky (6) looks an improving type who has stepped up in distance and grade each of it’s past 3 starts.  Going for 4 wins in a row.

Nissile (4) overraced last start but was ok given that.  Will race forward and if settles, can place.

Race 2

The Kris Lees trained Alpen Rose (7) finished strongly last start to finish 4th behind Epsilon in a leader dominated race.  That was over 1110m so the step up to 1200m looks ideal.  This horse has a tremendous record on rain affected tracks.  I think we’ll see Glen Colless take advantage of the nice gate and settle the horse closer than it did last start.

Other Hopes:

Pandora Charm (2) led them into the straight last start before being run down.   She’ll go forward again and prove hard to catch in an easier race.

Notonyourlife (5) also finished strongly in the Epsilon race that Alpen Rose was in.  Will be improved 2nd up but slight query over how it handles a wet track.

Vienna Queen (1) didn’t get things her own way 1st up and weakened late.  Should be better for the run but how much gas does she burn getting to the front from the wide gate?

Race 3

Liam Birchley has a strong hand here with Chariots Of Gold and Beckham.  I’ll probably quinella the pair but I’m putting Beckham (6) on top.  This former kiwi has now had 3 starts in Australia and each time has improved noticeably.  Last start at the Sunshine Coast he won a BM75 1300m race by 2.8 lengths.  He seemed to have a bit in hand.  This is obviously another step up in class but I think he’s up to it.  Will get a great run from barrier 2 for Michael Cahill.

Other Hopes:

Chariots Of Gold (4) ran a great race last start when finishing 3rd to the talented Worthy Cause.  He has a great record over the trip and will appreciate the cut out of the track. Goes forward and will be hard to run down.  Light weight.

Marksfield (7) has been in excellent form lately.  Will box seat from the nice draw.

Right To Roam (3) has been performing well in lesser classes.

Race 4

This is a very tricky race and one I’m not keen on getting involved in.  There isn’t much wet track form to go on here which is obviously not ideal.  More For Me (10) was scratched from a winnable race on Wednesday at Ipswich to run here.  The mare has had 2 starts in QLD since joining the Chris Munce stable and both have been full of merit.  On both occasions the horse found the line strongly.  She rises from 1110m to 1350m which should suit 3rd up.  Her only experience on a wet track was her 1st run for Munce when she missed the kick by 3 lengths and stormed home to lose by 1.5 lengths.

Other Hopes:

Gallinari (9) could improve back in mares grade.  The blinkers go back on and will have a light weight. Has won on heavy.

Max It Out (5) won well last start.  Races well here over this distance and will put herself in the race by going forward.

Sister Emma (1) isn’t suited to Doomben with her get back style.  However she’s down in class and this isn’t a strong race.

Race 5

 A wet track really opens this race up.  Quick Snitzel (4) should be ready to fire 3rd up here after 2 good runs.  In the past he has put in some of his best efforts 3 runs back after a spell.  He’s finished on the podium in 8 of 10 starts at this distance so he’ll appreciate the rise to 1600m here.  Jeff Lloyd should be able to settle midfield or better which will give the horse every chance.  A heavy track would be a concern.

Other Hopes:

Harada Bay (1) settles back and is always running on.  Has performed well in harder races than this recently.  Last start he really found the line over 1350m so 1600m should be to his liking now.

Punta Norte (9) found the line strongly last start.  His 2 runs this time in show signs that he has improved.

L’Entrecote (3) seems to always be thereabouts but has struggled to win.  A soft track would assist.

Race 6

Architect (1) resumed in excellent fashion 3 weeks ago.  He charged home to put his opposition to the sword.  He looks to have come back in sensational order.  He rises 3.5kg following that win but he has handled big weights in the past.  The speed should be fairly solid here which will help him storm over the top of them.

Other Hopes:

Nostradamus (3) resumes here on the back of a nice trial win.  He is a Group 3 winner and has performed well 1st up previously.

The Storeman (2) won last start after a run of placings.  Will give itself every chance by racing forward.

Didntcostalot (4) raced well last start in his 1st race for the Gollan stable.  Drawn wide but can go forward.  Handles a wet track.

Race 7

Tony Gollan believes he has a good one in My Girl Hayley (7) and it’s hard to disagree at this early stage of her career.  After winning a couple of trials, she won by 2 lengths at the Sunshine Coast after the rider dropped the whip.  Tim Bell takes the ride and should be able to take her forward from barrier 5 to give her a peach of a run.  The stable has spring ambitions so she should be winning this.

Other Hopes:

Patronizing (14) resumes here following a massive trial win.  Competed well against some of Brisbane’s better 2 year olds during it’s 1st prep.  Again barrier no benefit.

I’m Belucci (13) has had just the one start where he missed the start but ran on strongly to finish 2nd.  Was spelled after that and resumes here.

Dandy One (9) won on debut at the Sunshine Coast.  Will go forward from barrier 2 which will give it a show.

Race 8

I’m going with Forgotten Years (9) in the last.  He’s been racing well since coming to QLD.  After winning 1st up he narrowly missed at the Sunshine Coast and then wasn’t far off a couple of quick horses.   Last start he ran on strongly to narrowly miss the win when up considerably in weight.  He drops 4kg following that effort and looks a major player here.

Other Hopes:

Aroused (1) brings solid Sydney form here.  Unfortunately he has the visitor’s draw and may use a bit of gas to get across from out there.  If the track gets to heavy then this guy has to be at the forefront of your thoughts.

Divine Service (7) will go forward from the nice draw.  Enjoys the sting out of the ground.

Mana Manu (6) resumed recently and put in a solid showing behind Treatmelikealady.  Drawn well and should be running on.

Best Bets

Race 1 – Kaypers (2)

Race 6 – Architect (1)

Race 7 – My Girl Hayley (7)

26/08/15 – Ipswich

821500b

The Ipswich Turf Club hosts this week’s midweek meeting.  It can be a tricky proposition particularly when the rail is out a considerable distance.  That’s the scenario we’re faced with Wednesday.

The track as of Tuesday afternoon was rated a Good 4.  The rail is out 9m from the 1600 to the 1350 and 10.5m the remainder of the track.  With the warmer weather about this week there is a chance of showers and storms.  Hopefully they stay away.

Race 1

We have a decent form reference here with 5 of the 9 runners coming out of the same race last start.  I really liked the way Soldier Of War (9) has found the line in his past 2 starts.  Two starts back here he really picked up mid-straight to narrowly miss the win.  He then went to Doomben and did the same thing.  With the smaller field here I don’t think he will need to make up as much ground and can settle midfield.  Gets the services of Glen Colless.

Other Hopes:

Nozawa (5) was caught wide last start but still finished off well for 3rd (Soldier Of War was 2nd).  Will go forward from outside gate to be handy in run.

Under The Weather (6) missed the start horribly at Toowoomba last start.  Was under the pump basically from that point but still had the audacity to run on.  Step up in trip looks ideal.

Artanis (1) will take up the running which will give it a great shot with the rail out.  Concerned it weakened in the run home last start.

Race 2

This looks a competitive maiden for fillies and mares.  Red Hot Element (6) finished strongly to narrowly miss out at the Gold Coast last start.  I liked the way she picked up in the final 100m.  That was over 1200m which suggests the step up to 1350m will be to her liking here.  She’s drawn barrier 5 for Jackson Morris and with not a great deal of speed engaged, I think he’ll be able to settle her in the first handful of horses.

Other Hopes:

Pop A Bottle (4) from the in form Toby Edmonds stable is a consistent type who finished a hard fought 3rd last start at Doomben.  Will be a prominent figure from the nice gate.

Near The City (3) was bumped when about to make her run last start at Doomben.  She finished off ok despite the setback.  Barrier 1 is a big bonus here which will allow her to go forward for Tegan Harrison which is the jockey’s forte.

Ultimo (11) looks to be a horse that wants longer than the 1000m races it’s been getting.  Gets that here and should be running on.

Race 3

Shadow Doll (4) has put in 2 very good runs in it’s past 2 starts.  Two starts back she won at the Gold Coast over 1400m against her own sex.  She then finished a length off Te Rux over the same trip.  On each occasion she found the line strongly.  She steps up to 1710m here and I think she will find that to her liking.  There looks to be a decent amount of speed which helps her chances.

Other Hopes:

No Magic Needed (2) has been in good form lately.  He loves this track and drops in weight.  Should be handy in the run.

Red Cent (1) has done very little recently.  However this is a significant drop in class.

Hyperactive (6) led last start before being run down by No Magic Needed.  The change of tactics seemed to work so I dare say we’ll see that again here.  Place best though.

Race 4

This maiden over 2190m has me reaching for a drink.  This is a weak race but I think the horse with the best credentials to break it’s maiden is Galiano (3).  It finished 2nd by the narrowest of margins when it was run down at the Gold Coast last start over this trip.  It finished off quite strongly that day but just met one better.  Unlike most of these it has performed quite well over a trip.

Other Hopes:

Ussandu (6) should have won last start at Toowoomba.  After being slow away it came around the field on the turn.  It looked like an easy win before some funny business late in the race proved costly.  Prior form was good.

Gangsta (4) needs to lift on recent efforts but gives itself a chance by racing in a forward position.

Duke Of Kingsford (1) put in a decent effort 2 starts back but has shown very little besides that.  Will be whacking away.

Race 5

Patronizing (1) raced against some of the better Brisbane 2 year olds when last in work.  While still a maiden after 6 starts, he did finish on the podium in 4 of them.  If he can run up to those efforts then he should be the testing material here.  He resumes here on the back of a fine trial where he won by 5 lengths.  He’s also been gelded since he last raced so I think we can expect a nice showing 1st up.  He’s drawn wide in barrier 9 but I think he can get across to sit a few horse back and not be too far from the action.

At the time of writing, Patronizing didn’t have a jockey engaged suggesting that it may not run here. If that’s the case then Stella Ombra goes on top.

(Patronizing has been scratched)

Other Hopes:

Stella Ombra (2) has had just the 1 start and finished a close 2nd.  He’ll be improved 2nd up and will put itself in the race by racing in a forward position.

Afton Prince (3) disappointed me in it’s 1st start a few weeks ago.  It was very good in it’s trials so I’m prepared to give it a chance again.

Good To Be Great (10) has come close to breaking it’s maiden status on a number of occasions.  Will be in a prominent position in the run and gets a significant rider change with Glen Colless going on.

Race 6

Mymateswifty (6) steps up in grade following 2 big wins at Toowoomba.  He won his maiden 2 starts back by 6.8 lengths and then backed that fine win up by winning a class 1 by 4 lengths.  On both occasions he found the front and went further ahead.  Yes he goes from a class 1 to a class 3 here but he will get some favours with the rail out with his racing style.  Barrier 3 will enable Skye Bogenhuber to go forward and more than likely lead.  If that occurs, the horse will be hard to run down.

Other Hopes:

Menacing (3) is a consistent type that has put in a couple of good runs it’s past 2.  Finished a narrow 3rd here last start.  Will get a great run just behind the leaders.  I’m concerned that it has faded a touch late in recent races.

Assertory (7) won 2 starts back before ok effort in stronger grade.  Will appreciate the drop in class and will be finding the line.

Queen Of Georgia (5) is rarely far away with 8 podiums from 11 starts.  Will race forward but slight concern in the final 100m.

Race 7

Only the 8 runners go around here but that doesn’t make it an easy proposition.  Superstition (1) has put in 2 solid efforts in it’s past 2 races.  Two starts back it finished 2nd to the flying Bentles here.  It then went to Doomben and finished 3rd to Liberation.  That looks to be good form for a race like this.  He’s drawn barrier 6 for Glen Colless so I suspect Glen will go forward as he did last start.

Other Hopes:

American Hussler (3) should be primed 3rd up.  Put in a good showing 1st up before battling after a tough run in a stronger race 2nd up.

Tuned In (2) can be a bit hit and miss but will find this race easier.  Will go forward from the nice barrier and the 3kg claim certainly doesn’t hurt.

Maximum Merritt (4) won here last start.  Will race in a forward position.

Race 8

Faiconi (6) loves the Ipswich track and won here 2 starts back over this trip.  She then went to Doomben and performed quite well in a stronger class race than this.  Despite finishing 4th in that Doomben race she really found the line and a similar showing here will make her hard to beat.

Other Hopes:

Oceantes (7) won 1st up before putting in a couple of disappointing efforts.  This grade suits.

Alpintoro (4) is undefeated in 2 starts at the track.

Amata (9) has a great record over the trip and will be running on.

Best Bet

Race 8 – Faiconi (6)

22/08/15 – Doomben

doomb

Doomben hosts this Saturday’s racing where the track as of Thursday is rated a Good 3 and the rail is out 8m.   Showers are forecast over the coming days which could see a downgrade but I wouldn’t think it would get any worse than Soft 5.  Obviously it will pay to monitor the situation.  On pace runners should be favoured with the rail out so far.

***Track and Weather update Saturday morning:  The track is rated a Soft 5.  Showers are forecast but shouldn’t have too much of an effect.***

Race 1

Performia (6) returned to the winner’s circle last start and looks capable of going back to back here.  I thought her win at the Ekka race day was full of merit.  She rolled forward from the wide gate to sit outside Speedy Sam in front.  When they entered the straight she took over and I suspect she did just enough to ward Speedy Sam off.  Brooke Stowers retains the ride and the horse will carry just 52kg after the claim.  From barrier 7 I’d like to see her go forward but settle just behind the speed which should be quite willing.

Other Hopes:

Kalandula (2) is right in this.  She has been racing very well lately and narrowly missed out last start.  She’ll be finding the line strongly but I’m concerned she may get too far back in the run.  If she doesn’t then look out.

Speedy Sam (8) was nutted by Performia last start.  After leading she looked gone in the straight but managed to find something.  Will taking catching again.

Nicked And Court (5) arrived in the last bound to win at the Gold Coast last start.  From strong stable.

Race 2

Only a small field go around in this open handicap over 1650m.  I’m going with Jetset Lad (1) who reclaimed some of his former glory in recent times.  He won the Brisbane Cup over 2200m 3 starts back and won again last start over 1600m here.  Being in his twilight years he appreciates a small break between runs and it will be 5 weeks since that last win.  James Orman claims 2kg and should be able to give the horse a sweet run towards the front in a race with limited speed.

Other Hopes:

Kingdoms (2) could quinella the race for Brian Smith.  He resumes from nearly a year off the scene so may need the run.  However he’s Group 1 placed so his class can’t be ignored.

Keep Cool (4) had his 1st run for a new stable last start and account for himself well.  This old boy will take up the running and will give them something to catch.

Anna Lizzie (5) resumed last start with a nice 2nd.  Will be fitter and will appreciate the rise in distance.

Race 3

Plenty of speed engaged here.  Tibrogargan Miss (1) was impressive last start when winning by 4 lengths over 1050m.  I’m prepared to forgive her 1st up flop as apparently there were problems.  She’s Group 2 placed so I think she can be afforded that.  She’s drawn barrier 3 for Alannah Fancourt which should see her go forward and take up the running.  If that’s the case, she’ll be awfully hard to run down.  The 3kg claim is more than useful.

Other Hopes:

Saga Of The Storm (4) raced well when 1st in work.  She won her 2nd start before finishing 10th in the Magic Millions.  She’ll be finding the line but will she get too far back?

Blue Desert Moon (8) brained them at the Gold Coast on debut.  Up in distance and class but looks capable.

Zero Tolerance (10) is yet to win but is improving.  Last start it drew wide and did a bit of work early but still toughed it out.  Better draw here.

Race 4

I’m sticking with More Energy (3) after he won nicely for us last time.  As I mentioned last time, he turned the corner 2 starts back when he won effortlessly over 1800m.  He then produced a strong finish to win over 2020m.  He was helped by a peach of a ride by Glen Colless who retains the ride.  Although he failed last time he tried 2200m, he’ll be ridden cold by Colless which will see him see out the trip.

Other Hopes:

Honey Toast (1) is a big query at the trip.  He rises 600m on his last start but he does hit the long strongly.

Kaiser Franz (6) won a couple of races over this trip before failing in a stronger race last start.  Has beaten More Energy previously.

Another Prayer (5) comes here on the back of a strong win at Kembla Grange.

Race 5

Bentles (8) has drawn the outside but that shouldn’t pose too many problems for this front running gelding.  Two starts back he demolished a class 2 field at Ipswich.  He then came to town and led from start to finish to win by 1.5 lengths over 1600m.  I really liked the way he went about it and he looks a horse on the up.  He rises in weight here but Tegan Harrison should be able to give the horse the same sort of run in front.  If there’s no pressure, he’ll be very hard to get past.

***Bentles has been scratched.  I’ll promote Lauterbrunnen (5) to top pick.***

Other Hopes:

Lauterbrunnen (5) finished 3rd behind Bentles last start after being held up in the straight.  He meets that horse better at the weights but his record at Doomben is horrid and he’ll be giving them a start.  Now that Bentles is out, I don’t see this as much a problem and am prepared to give him a chance here.  Will be running on as usual.  We just don’t want him coming from too far back.

Unbowed (7) was in good form prior to last start.  Will enjoy any sting out of the track if that eventuates.

Casarati (3) had a big win at Ipswich last start.  May go on with it now.

Hard Ticker (2) ran a solid 3rd in the Coffs Harbour Cup last start.  Can make it’s presence felt here.

Race 6

 I’ve been picking Sony Legend recently but connections have chosen to scratch the horse.  That shouldn’t be the case here with the horse drawing nicely in barrier 6.  It’s been a month since he last raced but he does run well on the fresh side.  The reason I have been wanting to back this horse is because of it’s last start 3.3 length victory here.  He went to the front and just kept going.  That was over 1200m so I have no concerns over the 1050m.  He’ll be handy and tough to catch in the straight.  Nice weight relief for claiming Alannah Fancourt.

Other Hopes:

Say I Won’t (1) put in a nice showing last start when racing wide and with no cover.  Loves this trip but has 59kg to contend with.

Passatorio (4) resumes here and is drawn poorly.  However races well fresh and competed well in stronger races than this last prep.

Watling (9) put in an improved showing last start.  Will need to lift again but is capable on it’s day.

Race 7

I’m going with the class horse here in Rudy (1).  He resumes here and will have bigger races to contest later in this campaign but I think he can get things off to a good start.  He is a Group 2 winner and finished 4th in the Doncaster.  That’s too much for this lot.  He’ll carry 58.5kg after the claim for Luke Dittman.  He warmed up for this race with a nice trial win.  He should settle midfield and storm over the top of them.

Other Hopes:

Steel Zip (5) won easily by 3 lengths last start.  He’s in good form and draws to get a nice run.

Cum Dividend (3) defeated Steel Zip last start.  He went forward that day and similar tactics give him a chance here. Any sting out of the track will assist.

Daph ‘N’ Alf (2) has been in good form.  Will put itself into the race by racing forward but has a shocking record at the track.

Race 8

Great way to finish the day!  I’m sticking with Vienna Royale (9).  He won his 1st 2 starts back from a spell and was run down by Le Val on the line last start.  He drew barrier 10 that day and probably had to work a bit to get to the front.  With the rail out 8m and barrier 3, he’ll be much tougher to get past this time around.  The claim for Alannah Fancourt brings the horse into 53kg.

Other Hopes:

Le Val (2) has been in terrific form since resuming.  Meets Vienna Royale better at the weights for beating him last start. Drawn poorly but will be hitting the line hard.

Lesley’s Choice (10) won well last start.  Will race forward from the nice gate but could be suspect the last 100m.

Teronado (8) resumes here and prefers further.  However did race well 1st up last prep and is a quality animal.

Best Bets

Race  6 – Sony Legend (10)

Race 7 – Rudy (1)

15/08/15 – Doomben

doombmy

We return to Doomben this Saturday.  This will be the 3rd race meeting here in a week which is hardly ideal.  The track is rated a Good 4 and the rail is out 6m.  Fine weather is forecast all the way through to the weekend so we should see an upgrade.  Given the amount of racing, track condition and rail position on-pace runners may be favoured.

Before we get into the card, last Saturday saw just the 2 winners found.  These being More Energy and Steel Zip.  Both came in for considerable support and started a lot shorter than was originally available.

Race 1

  1. Shotover River (1)
  2. Kaypers (2)
  3. Castle Express (3)
  4. Nissile (5)

Race 2

  1. Honesta (3)
  2. Wack’em (11)
  3. El Campeador (6)
  4. Mr Epic (2)

Race 3

  1. Honey Toast (1)
  2. L’Entrecote (2)
  3. Piamimi (5)
  4. Martilago (4)

Race 4

  1. Lucky News (6)
  2. Sister Emma (5)
  3. Elusive Storm (2)
  4. Buon Auspicio (7)

Race 5

  1. Jopa (3)
  2. The Storeman (5)
  3. Suit (9)
  4. Velrosso (2)

Race 6

  1. He Don’t Care (4)
  2. Treatmelikealady (10)
  3. Didntcostalot (2)
  4. Love Rocks (1)

Race 7

  1. Quick Snitzel (12)
  2. Worthy Cause (4)
  3. Chariots Of Gold (11)
  4. Billy Da Boss (8)

Race 8

  1. Forgotten Years (5)
  2. Trubia (14)
  3. Pandora Charm (13)
  4. Siliqua (12)

 

Best Bets

Race 1 – Shotover River (1)

Race 2 – Honesta (3)

Race 3 – Honey Toast/L’Entrecote Quinella

Race 6 – He Don’t Care (4)

08/08/15 – Doomben

doombmy

We kicked off the new season with a decent day last Saturday at Doomben.  We found 4 winners on the 8 race card.  I’m grateful for those but it really should have been 6 as I talked myself out of Lesley’s Choice and with the way the track was playing, Lucky Tom was pretty much a moral in the last.

We’re back at Doomben this Saturday where the track is rated a Good 4 as of Thursday.  Fine weather is forecast so we could see an upgrade like last week.  The rail is out 2m.

***Track and Weather Update Saturday morning:  The track is rated a Good 3 with clear skies.  We may see an upgrade to firm. ***

Race 1

There will be plenty of speed in this race which will play into the hands of Lauterbrunnen (3).  He steps up to 1600m here but given the way he’s finished off recently, that should not be a problem.  Last start over 1350m he came from towards the back of the field to finish 5th in a race that really wasn’t run to suit.  He’s drawn barrier 2 here which should allow Glen Colless to settle in nicely.

Other Hopes:

Heart Of A Warrior (7) failed miserably last start but his form prior was very good.  Blinkers back on and up in trip…yes.

Polynikes (5) is drawn well and will go forward.  Won here last start and the 2nd horse won Wednesday.

Bentles (10) brained them in a lesser grade at Ipswich last start.  Up in trip but from a good yard and has room for improvement.

Race 2

Vienna Queen (3) resumes here on the back of a very nice trial.  She’s a consistent type with a great 1st up record.  From barrier 2 she’ll be able to lead or take up the box seat if things get too hot.  Gets 3kg off for apprentice Alannah Fancourt, a jockey I have plenty of time for.

Other Hopes:

Divine Service (2) will go forward from the nice gate. Races well 1st up.  Good form last campaign.

Ike’s Legacy (1) may find this too short 1st up and has a big weight. However raced well last preparation and did beat Vienna Queen.

Grenache (12) is up in class but draws well and has no weight.

Race 3

Besides Total Authority, there doesn’t look to be a great deal of speed here.  That will help Glenbawn Dame (3) who has drawn barrier 10.  Jeff Lloyd will be able to roll across with Total Authority and sit behind in 2nd.  She’s been racing well lately and came agonisingly close to winning last start.  When TA tires in the straight, she’ll be the 1 they have to catch.

Other Hopes:

Kalandula (2) has been racing well in good quality races.  Will be finding the line.

Jimmy Says Yes (4) brings good Sydney form here.

Prettyfamous (1) has been competitive against the boys and is right in this back to her own sex.

Race 4

I thought the run of Relampago (6) last time at the Sunny Coast was very good.  He drew wide and raced that way without cover.  He kept fighting and really only dropped off the last 100m but still was only half a length off the winner.  He won the start prior at Ipswich.  He’s drawn barrier 2 here which will give Beau Appo every opportunity to give the horse a peach of a run.  Gets in with just 52kg after the claim for Beau.

Other Hopes:

Most Important (2) won last start.  Will race on the speed and be a major player.

Taillevent (3) beat the older horses last start.  Will race handy but extra distance could test.

Craiglea Wandoo (4) finished like a shower of shit last start and can feature if they run along in front.

Race 5

 Plenty of speed engaged here in this open sprint over 1050m.  I’m taking a leap of faith here and going with Kencella (3).  His form in Sydney hasn’t been the best.  However he was competing in harder races than this.  He’s a real enigma this horse.  He comes out and brains them in the trials but doesn’t transfer that to the real thing.  I thought he was alright 1st up on a heavy track and he’ll certainly appreciate a good track here.  He’ll go forward here from barrier 7 and I’m hoping he just has too much gas for them.  This isn’t a race I’ll be getting carried away with.

***2 of the horses that would have been contending for the lead have been scratched.  That lives Kencella and Rocky King to vie for the lead.  Confidence slightly increased about Kencella.***

Other Hopes:

Seeking More (2) loves this track and trip.  He’s been in good form recently and will settle just behind a hot speed.

The Storeman (5) has been consistent recently and gets some weight relief.  Will race handy.

Rocky King (1) races better at the Sunshine Coast but won nicely last start.

Race 6

More Energy (9) failed at 2200m 2 starts back here when ridden near the front.  Last start over 1800m he settled back and came home hard over the top of them.  It looked effortless and a repeat of those tactics will see him in the finish here.  That win could be the turning point for this guy.

Other Hopes:

Walhaan (5) raced well in his past 2 starts.  He’s had a month break but will be finding the line strongly.

Walk To The Bar (3) is untested at the trip but finished off well last time suggesting the journey will suit.

Cruz By (8) won last start and now steps up to this trip. Capable.

Race 7

I’m going with Steel Zip (4) here but with limited confidence.  It’s that type of race where anything could get up and win.  Steel Zip is consistent if nothing else.  He’s been competitive in harder races than this and gets his chance here.  He’s drawn barrier 4 for Jeff Lloyd which should see these pair of old boys settle midfield.  He’s been finding the line which could prove too much for the rest of these.

Other Hopes:

Buakaw (10) won last start with a strong finish.  Up in class but this isn’t overly tough.  No weight.

Cum Dividend (2) went forward last start and won.  Similar tactics here will see him in the finish.  Rises considerably in weight.

Choice Bro (1) won 2 starts back and ran well for 3rd last start. Will be running on.

Anna Lizzie (5) resumes here and will be better later. However can show up fresh.

Race 8

 Sticking with Vienna Royale (3) after 2 very good wins have lined our wallets.  I’m prepared to go back to the well a 3rd time.  He’s drawn barrier 11 but Alannah Fancourt can get him across to find the lead or take up a spot in the box seat.  The 3kg claim will be of great benefit in the run to the line.  Put simply I think this horse has come back a lot better after a spell and I don’t see a reason to jump off while it’s in this sort of form.

Other Hopes:

Le Val (1) won in nice style 1st up.  Will be finding the line.

Big Decision (6) has been thereabouts in recent runs.  Must be close to a win.

Forgotten Years (9) has been good since coming to QLD.  Beat Liberation 1st up and then just missed out 2nd up. No weight.

Flamboyer (2) should appreciate the drop back to 1200m.  Needs to lift but can be a player if it does so.

Best Bets

Race 2 – Vienna Queen (3)

Race 3 – Glenbawn Dame (3)

 

01/08/15 – Doomben

doombmy

We kick off the new racing season at Doomben this Saturday.  Reflecting on last season’s efforts, The Silk brained them in the first 6 months but felt the pinch in 2nd half.  Fingers crossed we can get things off to a good start here.

The track is rated a Good 4 and with fine weather forecast over the coming days we should see an upgrade.  The rail is in the true position.

Race 1

The price doesn’t excite me but I have to stick with Honesta (5).  We were on last start here where she found the line strongly to finish 3rd behind Shotacross The Bow.  She drew wide that day but gets in closer here with barrier 4.  That should see her race midfield and be in striking distance when entering the straight.  She should be ready to rock n roll 3rd up.

Other Hopes: 

Halls Creek (4) is the obvious danger.  He’s finished just behind Honesta in their past 2 starts after not having the best of luck.

Race 2

It’s hard to go past Satirical Lass (1) following her 5 length demolition job last start.  She has drawn the outside gate but there doesn’t appear to be much speed in this race so she should be able to get across with relative ease to lead.  She goes up in the weight but the 3kg for Alannah Fancourt helps.  Again the price on offer isn’t fantastic but she should be winning.

Other Hopes:

Moon And The Stars (3) is in good form and drawn nicely.

Doula (5) has been in average form but gets in with very little weight after the claim.

Balmoral Baby (7) is up in class but comes into this on the back of a win.

Race 3

Shotover River (2) won here over this trip last start and looks a winning chance again.  Unlike last time he’s drawn close in with barrier 3.  Luke Dittman who claims 3kg will be able to put the horse in a super position either in front or in the box seat with minimal fuss.  If he can control the tempo then he’ll be awfully hard to hold out.  He has a top record at the track and trip.

Other Hopes:

Freton (3) pushed Shotover River last time late to just miss out.  This old stager is always competitive.

Kaiser Franz (9) won for us last time over this trip.  It’s an up and coming stayer who can handle the class rise.  Not sure he’s weight that well compared to previous 2 mentioned.

Holly Holy (7) has been in very consistent form lately.  Won last start over the trip.

Race 4

Honey Toast (4) has been racing in good form since resuming.  I like his effort in finishing 2nd last start to Feltre when stepping up in class.  He found the line that day despite having to be steadied when getting in the clear.  He’s drawn barrier 11 which isn’t ideal but there seems to be a decent amount of speed in the race which will help his hard finish.  Luke Dittman takes the ride and the 3kg claim gets him in with just 53kg.

Other Hopes:

L’Entrecote (3) has been consistent since resuming with some close finishes behind Feltre.  Ran into trouble last start after drawing wide. Gets a better run here.

Lock’s Legend (1) will improve after his 1st up run.  Very good 2nd up record.

Budget Bender (2) will get a good run and will be on the speed.

Race 5

This is a mongrel of a race.  There’s any number of chances here and the right move would be to move onto race 6 but where’s the fun there?  I’m going with Katelette (9).  She won nicely at Beaudesert 2 starts back and then finished strongly to just miss here last start.  She’s drawn barrier 1 for Bridget Grylls which should see the horse get a great run behind a decent speed.

Other Hopes:

Lesley’s Choice (1) will be in this for a long way and may be too good for these.  However I’m concerned about the 59kg and the wide gate.

Pandora Charm (6) won last start and gets weight relief.

Highly Geared (5) is racing well and last start effort in harder race puts it right in this.

Race 6

It’s the boys turn to try to get a metro win here over 1110m.  Sony Legend (10) won easily last start in a class 3 here over 1200m by 3.3 lengths.  He took the lead and just kept going.  I’m hoping for a similar play here.  He’s only a lightly raced 5 year old but he has won 4 of 7.  He’ll do me.

***Among the plethora of scratchings is our top pick Sony Legend.  Disappointing as I thought it was close to a stand out.   I’ll promote Dantga (13) to top pick.  It should get a sweet run in front now.***

Other Hopes:

Dantga (13) is undefeated in 3 starts.  Will race on the speed and be in it for a long way.

Young Fun (5) has drawn well and has performed well in better races than this in the past.

Say I Won’t (3) is a sneaky hope at odds that has performed well up north.

Flight In Space (1) ran alright in the Kirby at Grafton and you’d think that is good enough for a race like this.

Race 7

Suit (12) resumed 3 weeks ago after 434 days off the scene.  He put in an excellent showing after such a long time to finish 2nd.  He’ll take great benefit from that run and will be all the better 2nd up.  He’s drawn barrier 3 for Jimmy Byrne which gives him every opportunity to get a sweet run.  He’ll be hard to hold out.

Other Hopes:

Murder Of Crows (11) has changed stables and it will be interesting to see how they ride him.  Formerly a get back, run on type which usually doesn’t suit Doomben.  However strong form lines down south.

Zaha’s Ace (6) will go forward and give them something to catch.  Races well here.

Jopa (3) was poor last start but can be forgiven for that.  Has performed in better races than this.

Race 8

Each time Feltre (1) has raced recently there has been a “test” for it.  Each time he has made a mockery of that test.  He’s been kind to us lately and I’m sticking with him here.  Last start he stepped up to 1640m and won with 58kg.  He drops back here to 1350m and will have to carry 59kg but I think he’s up to it.  Ryan Wiggins will be able to give him a great run just behind the speed which should be solid if the last time Lucky Tom and Flamboyer met is anything to go by.  Especially given they’ve both drawn wide and will want to go forward.  Feltre is a horse in form and I don’t see why we should jump off now.

Other Hopes:

Lucky Tom (6) was heavily backed last start and almost pulled off a win.  In good form but I’m concerned he may use a bit of gas finding the front.

Quick Snitzel (8) resumes for new stable and may need run.  However class and a nice run from barrier 5 gives him a chance.

Lauterbrunnen (11) finished strongly for 3rd last start.  If can settle closer from the better barrier then can be a player.

Best Bets

Race 1 – Honesta (5)

Race 2 – Satirical Lass (1)

Race 7 – Suit (12)