06/02/16 – Doomben

sheiswhatsheis

Doomben hosts this Saturday’s racing where the track as of Friday is rated a Soft 7.  The rail is out 5.5m.  Showers are forecast again for Saturday so we could be racing on a heavy surface.  It definitely won’t be better than soft.

***Track and Weather Update Saturday morning: The track is rated a Soft 7.  Showers are a possibility throughout the day.***

Race 1

I really wouldn’t encourage getting too involved here.  Take some extra time and enjoy your lunch.  I’ll put Fallen For You (7) on top with little confidence.  She has the most experience of the field with 6 starts.  She’s been in the placings in 4 of them.  She weakened last start but was 21 days between runs so she should be fitter here.  Drawn barrier 1 for Glen Colless, she should get every chance.

Other Hopes:

Gracefully Chic (8) improved 2nd up when finishing well for 2nd here.  Admittedly her debut run was in Group 3 company.  Should be further improved here.

Yeezy (4) put in a good showing last start at Ipswich when finishing 2nd.  Showed speed and should take advantage of barrier 2 and give them something to catch.

Butter Toast (2) being out of a Zabeel mare will probably find this distance too short.  However this isn’t the strongest field and could show up on a rain affected track.

Race 2

The weekly distance race over 2200m has drawn a big field of 16.  Outraged (2) has finished 2nd to Cramming in his past 2 starts.  Last start over this trip he looked the winner until overtaken late.  He was clearly in front of the rest of the field.  It was 3 weeks between runs when going from 1800m to 2200m so he should have increased fitness this time around.  Only goes up 1kg.

Other Hopes:

Kaiser Franz (5) has been improving since resuming 3 starts back.  Should be ready to show something here.  Drawn out but will get back and find the line.

Scotty Be Gotti (4) will appreciate being back in this grade.  2 starts back he ran on for 2nd in similar class.

Once Again (6) is a lightly raced gelding who could have more upside than most of these.  Ran on well over 1666m last start at Ipswich.  This is tougher but can show up.

Race 3

Unfortunately what looked to be the good thing of the day Sheiswhatsheis has been scratched.  I’ll put Adorabubble (1) on top.  She has been racing in stronger company than this and has been competitive.  Two starts back at the Gold Coast she wasn’t far off Tina Melina who is flying.  She draws nicely here in barrier 3 and Beau Appo will give her every chance by taking up a prominent position.

Other Hopes:

Spirit Of Heaven (7) resumes here following a move from the Peter Moody stable to Desleigh Forster.  May have find these a bit nippy 1st up but will be finding the line strongly.

Flight Academy (9) is another that will get back in the run.  Has been finishing strongly at Ipswich recently with a number of close 2nds.  Speed looks solid enough to give her a chance.

Awesome Sight (18) has been racing well in weaker company since resuming.  Can go forward for Emma Ljung who claims 3kg.  A wet track holds no fears.

Race 4

Right Or Wrong (4) has been racing in ripping form since resuming.  I can’t ignore that form and have to stick with him here.  He’s won his last 2 starts quite commandingly.  Last start over this trip here he settled worse than midfield before coming home over the top of them.  He’s on the quick back up which leads me to believe the stable are really happy with how he is going.

Other Hopes:

Court’s Star (10) has been racing well but just coming up short.  Last start he finished 2nd to Gold Horizon when coming home in the wrong part of the track.  Will settle handy and be a major player again.

Gold Horizon (5) finished strongly to win over this trip last start.  Meets Court’s Start 2kg worse at the weights.  Will need some luck from the awkward barrier.

Oak ‘N’ Arthur (7) was well beaten by Right Or Wrong last start.  Drops 6.5kg and will be running on.  Won’t want to settle so back though.

Race 5

Quick Ketch (3) was an impressive winner 1st up and I think he can repeat the dose here 2nd up.  With a number of horses that like to go forward drawn out wide, the speed in the race should be willing.  He’s drawn better here than last start and will be advantaged by the strong speed.  Like last time, he’ll be storming to the winning post.

Other Hopes:

Redsson (4) was 2.1 lengths behind Quick Ketch when resuming.  Will be improved 2nd up and will get a nice run from barrier 2.  Can camp just off the speed before finding the line.

Global Red (11) has drawn wide which could be problematic.  However I can’t ignore the monster effort he put in to finish a narrow 2nd to Quick Ketch.

Nieta (14) was impressive in a trial win and backed that up with a 4.5 length win at Ballina on debut.  This is tougher but can make presence felt by racing in a forward position.

Race 6

Kraftwerk (10) put in a strong showing when having his 1st start for Tony Gollan.  He picked up late to find the line strongly to finish just behind Assertory in 3rd.  He’ll be improved 2nd up here.  He’s drawn out in barrier 12 but there doesn’t look to be a great deal of speed so Jim Byrne should be able to find a spot in the front half.

Other Hopes:

Mishani Stealth (4) finished off well last start off a 5 week breather.  He’ll be fitter here and will get a nice run from barrier 3.  Will appreciate racing over 1200m.

Profiler (7) won nicely here 2 starts back.  Will race on the speed from the nice gate and could prove hard to run down.

So You Drink (13) the popular horse for those punting at the pub.  He’s having his 1st start in QLD after winning last start at Sandown.  Will be running on and doesn’t mind a wet track.

Race 7

Saluter (2) has been freshened up after a disappointing effort in the Magic Millions Cup at the Gold Coast.  Coming back to Doomben will certainly be too his liking as shown by his recent efforts in races like the Lough Neagh.  He’s drawn well in barrier 2, will go forward and take some catching.

Other Hopes:

Lauterbrunnen (7) returned in super order with fast finishing 2nd over the unsuitable trip of 1110m.  Out to 1350m 2nd up will be too his liking.  He’ll be there to capitalise if they tire in front.

Steel Zip (1) was in ripping form late last year.  He put in a good effort behind Buffering last start.  Claim helps.

Timeless Prince (3) is on the quick backup after winning the Sunshine Coast Cup on Sunday.  Has performed well in the past under similar circumstances however Sunday’s track was a heavy 10.  That could take the wind out of his sails.

Race 8

Heart Of A Warrior (2) was very good when resuming last start over this distance.  He drew wide and had to do a bit of work early to find a spot near the front.  He battled on well to finish 2nd.  He’ll be improved here 2nd up and did win his only other 2nd up effort in the past.  He’s drawn to get a great run just behind the speed.  He’s up 4kg but is a horse that has shown promise.

Other Hopes:

Pearly Court (14) has been racing in good form recently.  This is tougher but gets in with a postage stamp weight after the claim for Emma Ljung.

Bernitchy (4) won well 2nd up last start.  He found the lead and fought on strongly.  He’s drawn well here and can take up a forward position and may prove hard to catch.

Storm Siren (6) visits from NSW in good form.  She won over this trip last start.  Will be hoping the track really wet.

Best Bets

Race 4 – Right Or Wrong (4)

Race 5 – Quick Ketch (3)

03/02/16 – Ipswich

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It’s the fourth Wednesday in a row that we are heading to Ipswich for the midweek meeting. The track is rated a Soft 5.  It’s been extremely hot this week but heavy rain is predicted Tuesday night and showers/storms Wednesday afternoon.  The rail is out 6m.

***Track and Weather Update Wednesday morning:  The track is rated a Soft 5.  No rain eventuated overnight but there is again the chance of storms this afternoon.***

Race 1

St Andrews (2) returned to QLD last start after 2 good efforts in Victoria.  Last start he finished a length 2nd to La Spiaggia who then ran very well behind Right Or Wrong last Saturday.  He’ll race in a forward position from barrier 3 and prove hard to run down.

Other Hopes:

London Lady (6) won 2 starts back at Murwillumbah before putting in a reasonable showing here last start when racing wide.  Will settle back from the gate and may have too much work to do in the run home.

Amajill (5) rarely wins but usually puts in a good showing.  Will be running on but would like to see the horse settle closer from the nice gate after a run of wide draws.

Angel Dancer (4) will go forward from the inside gate.  Was disappointing in this grade last start but previous form was quite good.

Race 2

Katelette (1) rarely wins but has found herself around the mark in all 3 starts since resuming.  She tries 1350m here and I think that will suit her style.  Last start over 1200m she found the line well here.  While she’ll be towards the back of the pack, it’s a small field so she shouldn’t be too far off the leaders.  She can finish over them.

Other Hopes:

More For Me (2) has only won the once but is generally around the mark.  Missed the kick last start but motored home.  Can show up in this field.

Agora (3) is in winning form.  She won her maiden easily here 2 starts back before winning a class 1 at Toowoomba last start.  Up in class again but can figure.

Lonhro’s Spirit (6) won a class 1 at Toowoomba last start.  Up in class but drawn well and will race in a forward position.

Race 3

I liked the way Havasay (3) found the line when resuming in the rich maiden race at the Gold Coast on Magic Millions day.  After drawing wide he did a bit of work to go forward before sitting 2 and 3 wide for the bulk of the trip.  He finished very nicely despite doing the work.  He’ll be improved 2nd up.  I’d like to see Michael Cahill settle closer in the run after drawing barrier 4.  If not too far off them when entering the straight then he’ll be hard to hold out.

Other Hopes:

Jack Lancaster (2) resumed at Toowoomba last start and finished well for a narrow 2nd.  Form prior to the break was very good and will be improved 2nd up here.

El Campeador (4) didn’t do a great deal 1st up over an inappropriate distance.  Will be better here 2nd up and can race in a prominent position from the the nice gate.

Captain Eyche (5) was completely outclassed 1st up when finishing a long last.  Drawn well and can hit back in this class.

Race 4

Very ordinary lot of maiden runners here.  Rum ‘N’ Song (8) resumed last start with a 3rd to the impressive Delightful Feeling.  While never a winning chance, he ran on nicely.  He’ll be improved 2nd up here and will enjoy the extra distance.  He almost won at his only other 2nd up run.  He can race on the speed here and be a major player.

Other Hopes:

Umbrella Man (10) was not far behind Rum ‘N’ Song last start when resuming.  Gets Jim Byrne on and should race close to the action from the nice draw.

Grey Not Black (3) is still trying to break his maiden status after 39 starts.  Maybe start 40 is the charm.  Was quite good last start when run down late after leading.  Will be handy from the nice gate and claim helps.

Storm Anchor (5) can lead here from barrier 3.  Will need to get an easy time of it though as it could get a stitch 200m from home.  Claim helps.

Race 5

This is a competitive race over 1350m.  I’m going with Don’t Deny Us (3).  He resumed after a freshen up in city class racing at the Sunshine Coast last start and was found wanting.  He’ll appreciate this level of racing.  2 starts back he put in a strong showing at Doomben over this trip when finishing a narrow 2nd.  He’s drawn out here and will settle towards the back but there looks a reasonable amount of speed.   The 3kg claim for Sairyn Fawke will help.  He’ll be finding the line strongly.

Other Hopes:

Deitch (1) put in a forget run here last start.  Form prior was good in this class.  Can race in a forward position and be competitive.

Karakabeel (6) won well on debut at the Gold Coast.  This is obviously harder stepping up from maiden to Class 3.  Can lead or be handy from the nice draw.

Bourbon Road (4) broke through for us last start here.  Like his stablemate, jumping from maiden to class 3 isn’t easy.  Drawn to get a lovely run.

Race 6

Pantalettes (5) resumes here following an easy 4 length trial win.  She races well fresh and at this track.  Her form in city class racing last preparation was quite good.  With Tegan Harrison in the saddle she’ll go forward and race in a prominent position, more than likely lead.

Other Hopes:

My Little Flicka (4) has been in the placings her past 3 starts. Ran on nicely last start on an unsuitable soft track.  Has a super record here.

Joint Initiative (1) resumed after more than a year off last start here and put in a good effort for 2nd.  There is a chance of a flat 2nd up run but also can be improved and if that’s the case then can show up.

Stellarcraft (6) finished 3rd here last start after a freshen up.  Will be fitter here.  Up in trip but can finish strongly.

Race 7

Tough way to finish the day.  I’m going with Gillian Heinrich’s Whatawaltz (1).  He’s had 2 runs back from a spell and should be ready to perform here.  He has won over this distance here previously and this class suits.  He’s drawn nicely in barrier 2 and should be able to get a great run just behind the lead.  The claim for Luke Dittman helps.

Other Hopes:

Caledonia’s Call (3) is 3rd up here and has a good record when that’s the case.  Will be finding the line strongly.

Fifteen Love (7) wasn’t far off them over this trip here last start.  Will appreciate the drop in class.

Freezelightning (4) can be a knockout chance at big odds.  Is 2nd up here and will be better over further but this isn’t the strongest race.  3kg claim helps and draw well.

Best Bet

Race 1 – St Andrews (2)

Race 3 – Havasay (3)

Race 6 – Pantalettes (5)

30/01/16 – Doomben

thoroughbred_doomben

We’re back at Doomben for another Saturday meeting.  The track as of Friday is a Good 4 with the rail out 3.5m.  There was talk of storms, even a supercell hitting Friday afternoon.  The weather gurus got it right to a degree with some fierce action around the traps but Doomben received next to nothing.  There is still a chance of storms Saturday but they look likely to hit after the last race.  Obviously it will pay to monitor.

***Track and Weather Update Saturday morning:  The track is rated a Good 4.  Again showers/storms are forecast but when they arrive or if they arrive is another matter.  The old chestnut applies, monitor as the day progresses.***

Race 1

This really isn’t a race I want to get involved in.  It’s hard to get a guide on the race when 4 of the 7 two year olds are on debut and have not been seen at the trials.  I’ll put Itz Alrite (2) on top.  It’s got race experience on it’s side.  While he was 6 lengths off Criquette, that horse was very impressive.  Itz Alrite was sent to the paddock after that and resumes here.  Won a trial in nice style.  Drawn well and claim helps.

Race 2

Volkhere (1) will enjoy coming back to Doomben after finishing 2nd in his past 2 starts at the Sunshine Coast.  He won the last 2 times he raced over this trip at Doomben and could prove hard to catch on the tighter circuit.  Damian Browne will look to control things in front.  A wet track holds no fears.

Other Hopes:

Award Season (2) has had 3 runs back since nearly 3 years off the scene.  Last start he finished a narrow 2nd to Destiny’s Kiss in the Gosford Cup which is good from for this.  Doubt he’ll want it too wet though.

Ongoing Venture (4) won by 3 lengths last start at the Sunshine Coast defeating Volkhere and Uno Five in the process.  Chances improve greatly when the track is soft or worse.

Our Boy Nicholas (5) is a wildcard here.  Taking on this distance for the 1st time off a 21 day breather is a concern.  However he has a touch of class that the others don’t.

Race 3

Chariot Of Gold (3) resumes here following an ok trial.  He was very good last preparation when racing over 1350m.  While the 1050m may be a bit short for his liking, I believe he can show up fresh.  He’ll race forward, possibly lead and be strong at the finish.  Importantly he can handle a wet track which cannot be said against many of his opponents.  Claim for Matt McGillivray is a benefit.

Other Hopes:

Vienna Royale (7) resumes here.  Drawn well and will go forward for Tegan Harrison.  Races well here over this distance.

Espiritu (2) is a consistent type that has won 7 of 15.  Has had a freshen up and races well under those circumstances.  Wouldn’t want it too wet.

Mywayorthehighway (8) won 3 starts back at the Sunny Coast before finding it a bit hard at her next 2 starts at the Gold Coast.  Will find this easier and while drawn wide has plenty of speed and can cross.  Wet track brings her right into this.

Race 4

Pienkna (12) has been in quite good form since resuming.  She won 1st up at Ipswich before a forget run at the Gold Coast.  She hit back last start with a very good 2nd at the Sunshine Coast.  She’ll appreciate going to Doomben and is better suited here.  Drawn barrier 3, Jimmy Byrne can settle nice and handy in the run.  She has good wet track form which includes a heavy win over Hijack Hussy.

Other Hopes:

Powerline (1) brings solid NSW form here.  He resumed last start at Gosford with a nice win.  Races very well over this trip and has performed 2nd up in the past. Will be finding the line but Damian Browne won’t want to settle too far back.

Assertory (13) has been flying since resuming.  She’s won all 3 starts since a break and looks ready for the rise in distance.

Mana Manu (7) resumed at the Sunshine Coast last start and finished 3rd behind Three Sheets and Pienkna.  Should be improved 2nd up and will get a nice run from barrier 1.

Race 5

Le Cap (3) won well at the Sunshine Coast last start after putting the writing on the wall in the Bat Out Of Hell 1st up.  He looked a winner a long way out last start and looked to have something in hand across the line.  He’s drawn barrier 9 here but Damian Browne should be able to come across and find a spot just off the speed.  If he can do that without too much fuss he’ll be hard to beat.  He won his only try on a heavy track.

Other Hopes:

Someday (1) resumes after just over a year off.  He has raced in better quality races in the past and if right can show up here.  Wet track holds no fears.

Dream Choice (9) drew wide and stayed that way in the run when having his 1st start for Rob Heathcote.  So there there plenty of merit in his 3rd to Le Cap.  Drawn much better her in barrier 3 and can feature with a better run.

Jopa (6) will be doing a rain dance as he grows a leg when it’s heavy.  Won well 1st up here in heavy going and wasn’t too bad when 4th to Le Cap last start.

Race 6

Right Or Wrong (4) caught me out last start.  He put in a massive effort when taking off well before the turn at the Gold Coast when resuming.  I thought that would take it’s toll 2nd up at the Sunshine Coast but I couldn’t have been more wrong.  He absolutely bolted in by 3.3 lengths.  He steps up now to 1615m which looks ideal.  He’s drawn to get a great run and looks hard to beat again.

Other Hopes:

Tracey’s Angel (3) won well on heavy going at Ipswich 2 starts back before putting in a very good effort at the Sunshine Coast.  Will look to lead or be very handy.  Claim helps and the wetter the better for this girl.

Good Job Bro (1) won at Toowoomba 2 starts back before an ok effort last start when finishing behind Tracey’s Angel at the Sunshine Coast.  Tends to be around the mark without winning.

Oak ‘N’ Arthur (2) should be ready to show something 3rd up after a long spell.  Gets out to a more suitable distance range after a couple runs over 1200m.

Race 7

Legendary Luke (8) won last start at the Gold Coast on Boxing Day.  He’s been kept fresh for this and has a great record over the distance with 3 wins from 4 starts.  Jim Byrne can give him a top run from barrier 1 by settling just behind the leaders.  He has handled a wet track well in the past.

Other Hopes:

Easy Running (3) will find this easier than previous races.  Drawn well, claim helps and while up in trip can figure in the finish.

All Things In Time (9) won 3 starts back and was around the mark in the 2 races that followed.  May get too far back but will be finishing strongly.

Red Claw (11) won nicely at the Sunshine Coast last start.  Up in class but can take advantage of nice gate and settle forward.

Race 8

Too Good To Refuse (2) resumed last start at the Sunshine Coast and put in an eye catching performance.  He finished strongly on the worse going to finish 3rd behind Privlaka.  While connections have better races in sight during the Sydney autumn, he’ll be improved here 2nd up over 1350m.  He’ll get back in the run but there looks sufficient speed for him to come home over the top of them.  Wet track won’t worry him.

Other Hopes:

Most Important (1) has been racing well.  Finished strongly 2 starts back to just miss out in the Vo Rogue before putting in a solid effort behind Mahuta last start.  Will go forward and will take plenty of catching.

Privlaka (5) won at the Sunshine Coast last start.  Up in trip a slight query but will race handy.  Handles wet tracks well.

Legal Procedure (6) comes to town with some very good Rockhampton form.  Breeding suggests will get through wet going.  Will be finding the line but may settle too far back.

Best Bet

Race 4 – Pienkna (12)

Race 6 – Right Or Wrong (4)

 

27/01/16 – Ipswich

ipswichtc

The Ipswich Turf Club hosts this Wednesday’s meeting.  The track is rated a Good 4 with the rail out 4m.  Ipswich avoided the rain that was about yesterday and should do so again today despite the cloud cover.

Race 1

Tough way to get the day under way with a 2 year old maiden where 5 of the 8 starters are on debut.  I’m going with the Chris Munce trained Reward For Riches (6).  This filly is one of those having their 1st start.  She’s quite well bred, is drawn well and gets Jim Byrne in the saddle.  Market support would dictate whether involvement is any more than a bit of interest.

Other Hopes:

Astarac (1) ran last of 6 by 12 lengths on debut here.  Blinkers go on and has drawn inside gate.

Venetian Beauty (8) is a 1st start for Pat Duff.  Has had 2 trials and is drawn well.

Race 2

Royaltown Road (2) has been racing in reasonable form and can show up in this weak race.  Last start he finished 2nd by less than length over 2200m at the Gold Coast.  He won 3 starts back quite easily over 1650m at Beaudesert.  He’ll appreciate a track with the sting out of it.  The claim for Emma Ljung will be beneficial.

Other Hopes:

Scarlet Poet (6) won nicely here last start over this trip to break her maiden status.  Went very close the start prior at the Gold Coast.  Looks to be a mare with room for improvement, something you can’t say about the rest of these.

Eskimo King (3) has been in ok form since resuming.  Broke his maiden easily at Gatton.  A rain affected track would add to his chances.  Distance a query.

Landale (1) has struggled recently but drops in class here.  Will go forward and look to control the race from in front.

Race 3

Giuliani (1) had his 1st start for Tony Gollan on Magic Millions day in the rich maiden race.  After 521 days off, it was quite a good effort to finish 4th.  His form as a young horse was very good with a narrow 2nd to Unencumbered who won the 2 year old Millions race that year.  He will have taken benefit from his 1st up run and should be tough to beat here.  Will race in a forward position for Matt McGillivray who claims 2kg.

Other Hopes:

Zero Tolerance (10) was narrowly beaten when resuming last start on heavy going.  She’s drawn wide here but can find a position close to the front.  Seems close to breaking her maiden status.

American Hero (3) resumes here on the back of a decent trial win.  Was good in his 1st preparation.  Drawn to get a nice run for Paul Hammersley.

Madiba (2) finished 2nd but was well beaten by a handy type when resuming here last start.  Showed speed so can negate the wide barrier.  Should be improved 2nd up.

Race 4

Urban Knight (4) won nicely 2 starts back before putting in a decent showing in city class last start where he raced 3 wide after drawing barrier 13 of 14.  He once again draws an outside gate here but he’ll be able to go forward for Tegan Harrison and take up a prominent position.  He’ll find this class of racing easier than what he has been racing.

Other Hopes:

Grenache (5) finished well behind Urban Knight when resuming.  Raced well last campaign and can feature here.

Awesome Sight (9) was very good when resuming at Toowoomba last start.  He finished strongly in 2nd behind Thomas The Tank.  Connections thought he’d need the run so he should be improved here 2nd up.  Gets in with no weight after the claim for Emma Ljung.

Pandora Charm (8) resumes here.  Was quite good in city class racing last preparation.  Can show up fresh.

Race 5

Mysterium (2) has been around the money in recent races and looks close to breaking through.  His 2nd here last start over this trip was a good effort considering he was up in trip and had been freshened up.  He should take benefit from that and be better here.  Will race handy and give himself every chance.  The 3kg claim for Emma Ljung will help.

Other Hopes:

Watched (10) has finished 2nd in her past 2 starts at the Gold Coast.  Up in trip here but gives the indication she can handle it.  Will settle back from wide draw and look to finish over them.

Ritzy’s Command (11) ran on last start to finish just behind Watched.  Looks like she wants the extra distance.

Sky Heart (3) has had just the 2 starts and has performed ok in both.  He weakened late last start which is a concern here with him stepping up in trip.  However blinkers go on and stable need to be respected.

Race 6

Delightful Feeling (10) had his 1st start here 2 weeks ago and looked impressive when winning by 4.8 lengths.  It took some time for him to have a race but the weight was well worth it.   He ran a decent time and I’d expect him to improve 2nd up.  He’s drawn barrier 9 here but there doesn’t look a great deal of speed in the race so Robbie Fradd should be able to get across and lead fairly comfortably.

Other Hopes:

Comic Story (6) resumes here with a good 1st up record.  His form last preparation was very good.  Will go forward from the nice gate.

Brotherly Secret (2) has been racing well in better quality races.  Drawn well and claim helps.  Will be finding the line.

 Planet America (9) resumes here.  Was quite good in 1st preparation.  Drawn to get a super run.

Race 7

Flight Academy (1) has found the line well in her past 2 starts here.  Last start she settled near last before hitting the line strongly to just miss.  If she had got a clearer passage then she probably would have won.  There won’t be as much traffic here to negotiate.  Will settle back from the wide gate but hopefully won’t have to make up too much ground when they straighten.

Other Hopes:

Alpen Rose (7) is 2nd up here.  Drawn well and should race in a prominent position.  Races well on rain affected tracks.

Oceantes (11) resumes here and has a good 1st up record.  Raced well last preparation in better quality races than this.

Chaste Angel (8) won well when resuming last start.  This is harder but is a consistent type.

Race 8

Silento (7) is a former NZ horse now with Rob Heathcote who won 1st up 3 weeks ago.  In heavy going he settled handy before finding the line well.  He’ll be improved 2nd up and will get a great run from barrier 3 for Jimmy Orman.  A wet track won’t bother him in the slightest.

Other Hopes:

Silent Duke (3) has won his past 2 starts in nice style.  Drawn wide but will probably go forward for Jimmy Byrne.

Where’s Thatdragon (8) loves a wet track.  Won easily on heavy going last start over this trip.  Drawn wide but can cross and lead.

Little White (5) won well when resuming last start.  Drawn wide and may settle too far back.  However will be finishing strongly.

Best Bets

Race 6 – Delightful Feeling (10)

Race 8 – Silento (7)

23/01/16 – Doomben

TM

We return to Doomben after a few weeks at the Coastal tracks.  We’ll be permanent fixtures here on Saturdays for the next few months.  The track as of Friday is rated a Good 4 with the rail out 1m.  Friday will be another warm day but there is a possibility of storms Saturday afternoon.

***Track and Weather Update Saturday morning:  The track is rated a Good 4.  An afternoon storm is still a possibility but the chances of that seem to be lessening.  Obviously it will pay to monitor.***

Race 1

The 2 year old fillies kick things off with 5 of the 9 on debut.  Cougar (5) is 1 of those 1st starters.  She won a trial at the Sunshine Coast in easy fashion by 4.5 lengths.  While the time was slower than the other trials that day, she looked to have plenty more to give which was encouraging.  She’s drawn the outside barrier here but looks to have the necessary speed to cross and importantly gets the services of Damian Browne.

Other Hopes:

Snow Drifter (9) finished a half length 2nd in a trial to O’Reilly Cyrus who has shown some talent and will compete in NZ this weekend.

Bagus (1) won on debut by 2.5 lengths at Ipswich.  Drawn barrier 1 so should race in a prominent position and get a nice run for Bridget Grylls who claims 1.5kg.

Fallen For You (3) has experience on her side with this being her 6th start.  She’s finished 2nd 3 times so has claims.

Race 2

The Conspirator (1) put in a strong display last start when finishing 2nd to Kudero.  He drew and Emma Ljung used him up early to go forward before sitting 3 wide.  He still showed plenty of fight to hold on for 2nd.  He’s drawn the inside gate here so he won’t be doing as much work as he did last start to find a spot close to the front.  Emma Ljung’s 3kg claim helps and meets Kudero better at the weights here.

Other Hopes:

Kudero (6) has a poor record at Doomben but can’t be ignored based on his past 2 impressive wins.  Will be finding the line.

Lauterbrunnen (3) resumes here and prefers much longer.  However is a classy animal so cannot be ignored.

Thinkhesaurus (5) ran last in the Bat Out Of Hell when resuming.  Will need to lift but is undefeated in 3 2nd up runs.  Tegan Harrison will look to lead here.

Race 3

Mandryka (5) has been stepping up through the grades in style.  He has gone from a maiden to winning a BM75 in his past 3 starts and won all by decent margins.  He raced over this distance 2 starts back winning by 4.3 lengths.  He’s drawn out in barrier 10 but Jimmy Orman who claims 1.5kg can roll across and take up a forward position.  I don’t see why this guy can’t keep progressing.

Other Hopes:

Kaiser Franz (6) was fairly disappointing last start over the 1666m at Ipswich.  I expect improvement here 3rd up and the rise to his preferred distance.

Cramming (1) is on trial at the distance but gives the indication that it will suit.  Won at the Sunshine Coast over 1800m 2 starts back at 100/1.

Retune (2) was very good 2 starts back when beaten narrowly by Tinto.  Disappointed last start but could feature back in this grade.

Race 4

 Ra Ra Epic (6) is having her 3rd run back from a spell.  1st up she finished off well to finish 3rd behind Tibrogargan Miss over 900m.  She then won easily at Doomben over 1110m.  Michael Cahill has options from barrier 1.  She has shown an ability to go forward but I would suggest with the decent speed in the race that Cahill take a sit just off them and launch home in the straight.

Other Hopes:

Tibrogargan Miss (2) defeated Ra Ra Epic 2 starts back before being found wanting last start on Magic Millions day.  Will appreciate the drop in class and can race in a forward position.  Gets Damian Browne in the saddle.

Jam Toast (1) resumes here with a perfect 3 from 3 fresh record.  Dominated lesser fields at Rocky and Roma prior to the short break so this will be harder.  However you can’t knock a horse with a winning record such as his.

Aimalac Millie (5) has been racing well in Northern NSW with 3 wins from 4 starts since a spell.  Has a good record over the distance.  Respect.

Race 5

Zindzela (7) resumed recently in the Magic Millions Country Cup and ran well for 6th.  She seemed to be finishing quite well and the rise in trip will be to her liking here 2nd up.  The form out of that race has since been franked with Three Sheets (2nd) winning last Saturday.  She’s drawn barrier 1 for Matt McGillivray who claims 1kg so she should get a sweet run.  Raced well up North before joining Tony Gollan.

Other Hopes:

Doula (3) led them up at Ipswich last start before weakening in the run home.  She should be fitter here 3rd up and will enjoy racing against her own sex.  Has a handy record and can race close to the action.

Righteous Miss (2) has been racing in good form and almost pulled off a hattrick of wins last start.  Wide barrier could be tricky but if gets some luck then can be in the finish.

Taltarni (8) has raced well in her 3 most recent NSW starts.  She won 2 starts back and was close up in the other 2.  That form should hold up here and will get a nice run.

Race 6

Sea Red (5) has been racing in ripping form lately.  Last start at the Sunshine Coast she finished strongly for 3rd behind Little Brown Horse and Lordag.  That was a stronger race than this and Lordag has since won.  She returns to Doomben where she has won her last 2 starts there.  There looks to be sufficient speed in this race for her to showcase her booming finish and come over the top of these.  We’ll have to monitor the weather though as she wants it dry.

Other Hopes:

Glorious Red (3) has won her past 3 starts.  Has raced particularly well at Doomben over this trip.  Barrier 10 could be awkward but I would think Glen Colless will go forward.  Rain would increase chances.

Mister Booze (2) rises in trip which is an unknown.  However form is very good.  Latest was a 1.5 length 2nd to Buffering.  Will go forward and be in this for a long way.

Gold Horizon (9) rises to this distance for the 1st time.  Has been running on so the trip isn’t beyond him.  Has been racing in consistent form.

Race 7

It’s been quite a turnaround for Tina Melina (2) since she ran dead last by some 71.5 lengths.  She won her next 2 starts over 1200m before a very good 3rd over 1300m in the Magic Millions fillies and mares race.  She’ll enjoy coming back to 1200m.  A distance she has a 40% win rate over.  From barrier 1 Jimmy Byrne will be able to give her a peach of a ride close to the action.

Other Hopes:

Adorabubble (5) finished 3rd to Tina Melina last start.  Meets that horse 3.5kg better at the weights.  Will go forward from barrier 10 and will be in this for a long way.

Sheiswhatsheis (10) has been racing in good form besides the horror show that took place 2 starts back.  Has form around some nice horses and can show up here if not gassed out early trying to get to the front.

Onemorezeta (3) ventures up from Sydney 2nd up.  Ran on ok 1st up when despised in the market.  Will settle midfield or worse but can find the line.

Race 8

Bold Attraction (9) was enormous last start when narrowly going down at the Sunshine Coast to Glorious Red.  He did a lot of work in finding the front but still kicked on in the straight and was just nutted on the line.  Form prior was very good.  He’s drawn barrier 2 here so should get the run of the race for Jimmy Byrne.

Other Hopes:

All Things In Time (5) made ground to finish 4th in the Glorious Red race spoken above.  He’ll get back but he’ll be finding the line which should be aided by a decent speed.

Rectifier (12) has been winning at Rocky and comes to town for the 1st time.  This will be harder but gets a nice draw and Glen Colless in the saddle.  Have to assume he’s here for business and not pleasure.

Single Spirit (1) has raced well in country NSW since resuming.  This is harder but unlike a lot of his rivals, he’ll get a nice run from barrier 3.

Best Bets

Race 6 – Sea Red (5)  DRY TRACK ONLY

Race 8 – Bold Attraction (9)

20/01/16 – Ipswich

821500b

Midweek racing comes to us from Ipswich this week.  The track is rated a Good 3 with the rail out 2m.  Fine weather is forecast.

Race 1

Majella Magic (7) is having her 1st race for Tony Gollan after previously racing with Peter Moody.  She was largely disappointing in her 3 Sydney races but did finish 3 lengths to Counterattack the start prior to a spell.  She’s drawn barrier 2 her for Tegan Harrison which is a distinct advantage over the 800m.  Has had a trial leading into this.

Other Hopes:

Stella Ombra (2) resumes here and has placed in 3 of 4 career starts.  Can race handy from barrier 3.

All That Is (4) showed early speed on debut.  Resumes here and has drawn to get every possible chance.

Falchion (1) resumes here on the back of a nice trial win.  Drawn wide but can go forward.  Showed something early in career.

Race 2

Shawl (12) has put in 2 very good runs since coming to QLD.  She has found the line in both starts and nearly got the chocolates last start over 1200m at Doomben.  The rise in distance here 3rd up looks ideal.  Jeff Lloyd replaces the apprentice Brooke Stower.

Other Hopes:

Stratuzy (14) will look to burn across and lead from her wide gate.  If can do that without a lot of fuss than can feature in the finish.  Otherwise could just set it up for others.

Sakitto (2) has been in the placings at both her starts since a spell.  The rise in distance here 3rd up looks ideal and I would expect Robbie Fradd to make use of barrier 2 and settle closer than normal.

Subsolar (15) was good on debut over 1200m.  She ran on so the step up to 1350m looks suitable.  Drawn well.

Race 3

Bourbon Road (11) should finally break his maiden here.   He’s finished 2nd in 4 of his 6 starts and wasn’t far from the winner in each race.  Some of those horses such as Cocoa Bar and Charcuterie have proven to be reasonable types.  He found the class a bit too much for him last start in the Magic Millions Maiden and will relish coming here.  From barrier 3 Jim Byrne can settle nice and handy before pulling away in the straight.

Other Hopes:

Errol (14) finished 3rd on debut here over this trip.  He settled back that day after drawing wide but made some ground for 3rd.  Drawn much better here in barrier 3 and I suspect he’ll settle a lot closer.

Robabank (10) has been run down in his past 2 starts when favourite.  Blinkers off and drawn nicely.  Running out of chances.

Really Reilly (9) is a consistent type that has been in the placings in his past 5 starts.  Drawn horribly but will get back and run on.

Race 4

Dansolei (5) is the class runner of the field and should be too strong for these.  She has been racing in decent form since resuming.  She won over this trip at Doomben 1st up before a couple of close up finishes in Saturday class racing.  While she gets back in her races, she shouldn’t be too far from the lead with the small field and limited amount of speed.  If that’s the case then they will struggle to hold her out.

Other Hopes:

Dutch Treat (9) has been in the placings in her last 3 races in weaker company.  Can lead this lot up and will look to dictate.

Faiconi (6) has been close to the mark since resuming with 3 placings.  Possibility of being caught wide.

War Baby (4) has been mixing her distances up but this seems to be her best trip.  Can push up from barrier 1 and be in this for a long way.

Race 5

Terio Tool (6) should be ready to produce something 3rd up.  Last start at Doomben over 1350m he led for a long way before weakening late.  The tight Ipswich track will suit his style and I expect him to be right in this.  Luke Dittman who claims 2kg can lead and prove hard to catch.

Other Hopes:

Bernitchy (3) stunk 1st up but will be improved here over further 2nd up.  Has a good record over the trip and can be handy in the run despite wide gate.

Flying Charger (1) ran on last start in heavy going.  Drawn well and wouldn’t surprise if in the finish.

News Editor (5) resumes here on the back of a narrow trial 2nd.  Was competing over much further distances last campaign but can fire here fresh.

Race 6

 Gherardini (3) resumes here following an ok trial.  Her form last preparation was very good.  She won 3 on the trot as she stepped up through the grades before finishing 11th in the Silk Stocking after drawing wide.  She can go forward here for Tiffani Brooker who claims 3kg and prove hard to run down.

Other Hopes:

Lady Jetsetter (2) resumes here following a disappointing campaign in Melbourne.  Her form prior to that was very good.  She loves this distance and goes well fresh.

True Passion (8) finished 2nd to Pienkna 1st up.  He is unbeaten in 2 2nd up races.  Races really well at Ipswich and is drawn to get a nice run.

Katy’s Son (9) looked a promising type after winning his 1st 2 starts.  Resumes here and will more than likely get back and run on.

Race 7

The speed looks like it could be on here with a number of horses that like to go forward drawing wide.  That will suit Carmenere (6).  This lightly raced gelding from the Brad Herne yard has shown some promise.  Last start he won over this distance at Doomben after bullocking his way through and finding the line well.  There looks to be plenty of improvement left in him.  He’s drawn wide here but will settle back and find the line strongly.

Other Hopes:

Fantisha (1) bolted in at the Gold Coast 2 starts back in this class.  Drawn well and gets a 3kg claim.  Will be finishing strongly.

Revitalise (2) will appreciate the drop in class.  Can race in a prominent position from barrier 3.  Claim helps.

Little Long Horn (3) won here in class 5 company over this distance last start.  Doesn’t win out of turn but can feature in the finish.

Race 8

Shipwrecked (2) has raced well in 3 year old company over longer.  He won here easily over 1350m in class 3 company 3 runs back and can measure up again against the older horses.  From barrier 5 Matthew McGillivray who claims 2kg can go forward and race in a prominent position.  Will be tough to run down.

Other Hopes:

Deitch (1) has been racing in consistent form over 1400m.  Drops back to 1200m after a freshen up.  Will go forward and be a major player.

Heartbreak Harry (3) has drawn wide but has the necessary speed to find a spot near the front.  Won by a big margin here last start.

Rocklord (8) was well beaten 1st up but will be improved here 2nd up given it was nearly a year since it’s last run.

Best Bets

Race 3 – Bourbon Road (11)

Race 4 – Dansolei (5)

16/01/16 – Sunshine Coast

Shotacross-The-Bow-wins

We had a successful time of it at the Gold Coast on Magic Millions day with 5 winners and the other 4 top picks finishing in the placings.  This Saturday we head up the Bruce Highway to the Sunshine Coast.  The track as of Friday was rated a Good 4.  The rail is out 2m from the 1200m to the 400m mark and true the remainder.  There is a chance of showers and rain on Saturday so it will pay to monitor.

***Track and Weather Update Saturday morning:  The track is rated a Soft 5.  Showers have started to roll through.  It is also very windy so hopefully the wind can play a part in firstly blowing the rain clouds through quicker and secondly drying the track.***

Race 1

Shotover River (1) won here last start over this trip and it’s hard to see any of those that he faced that day being able to turn the tables.  Especially considering there is no real change in the weight differences.  He was in very good form prior and from all reports he’s come back a better horse this preparation.  Barrier 1 will allow Luke Dittman who claims 2kg to give him a sweet run.

Other Hopes:

Volkhere (2) plugged away behind Shotover River last start when 1.8 lengths back in 2nd.  Had won his 2 starts prior.  Notable jockey change with Damian Browne going on.

Scotty Be Gotti (6) has been in consistent form in lesser grades.  Finished 2nd last start at the Gold Coast when running on for the tail.  Capable but may give too much a start.

Uno Five (3) has been around the mark in these races for some time.  Last start suggested he may be on the downward slope and needing a spell.

Race 2

Honey Toast (1) resumes here following a good last preparation.  His best work is over further but I feel he can show up here fresh.  He has won 7 of 16 and has a good record at the track.  While there appears to be little speed in the race on paper, I feel there could be some artificial speed added courtesy of Three Sheets and others.  That will help Honey Toast who will be finding the line with vigor.  Luke Dittman who claims 2kg can settle closer than normal, possibly midfield if likes from barrier 2.

Other Hopes:

Profiler (5) has been racing in ripping form.  The writing was on the wall when he won last start at Doomben.  Drawn out wide but should be able to get across with few problems to take up a prominent position.

Britaila Kate (3) put in some strong efforts at Doomben prior to a short freshen up.  Will appreciate the bigger track here and will be coming home strongly.

Three Sheets (11) has been racing in consistent form and appears to be knocking on the door.  I have queries about the appointment of Tegan Harrison and what that means to the way the horse will be ridden from barrier 8.

Race 3

Le Cap (3) resumed last start in the Bat Out Of Hell over 900m.  It was a really nice return.  He was a clear last entering the straight but managed to run on well along the rail to finish 4th.  The 1200m here will be more to his liking and he’ll have taken a fitness benefit from that 1st up run.  He ran some nice races against decent opposition last preparation.  Gets the services of gun jockey Damian Browne who can give the horse every possible chance from barrier 2.

Other Hopes:

Whiskey Allround (6) was never on the track in the Bat Out Of Hell.  It was a complete forgive run and is better than that.  Drawn well for Jimmy Byrne and will put itself in the race by racing in a prominent position.

Final Crescendo (9) has raced in Sydney his past 2 starts.  He wasn’t disgraced and should appreciate this level of racing.  His best would put him right in the mix here but the question remains whether he can.

Jopa (2) was excellent 1st up on a heavy Doomben track.  Was ok 2nd up in the Goldmarket.  Will find this easier.  Chances increase if wet.

Race 4

Lordag (3) has been racing in terrific fashion lately.  While he hasn’t been winning, he hasn’t been far off them either.  Most notably his 2nd to Centre Pivot 2 starts back.  Last start he got to the front a touch early and was swamped late.  While the 1800m is unknown, he should get every possible chance to run it out strongly after drawing barrier 1.  Glen Colless can give him a peach of a ride just behind the speed.

Other Hopes:

Cantbuybetter (6) was just behind Lordag last start here.  Meets that horse 2.5kg better but would need to improve to turn the tables.

Retune (10) finished strongly to finish 2nd behind Tinto last start at the Gold Coast.  That horse has won again on Millions day.  Will be finishing strongly but will need the speed on.

Cramming (9) won at 100-1 last start here in lesser company.  Races well at this track and will be further improved 3rd up.

Race 5

The Brad Herne trained Iona Fast One (5) grows a leg when he comes to the Sunshine Coast.  In 6 starts over the trip here he has won 4 and placed 2nd in another.  He resumes here with a fresh record of 2 wins and 2 2nds from 5 resumptions.  From barrier 1 Jimmy Orman who claims 1.5kg can find a nice position close to the front.  From there he will be hard to catch.

Other Hopes:

Pirandello (7) had his 1st run for Matt Dunn last start and led them a merry dance at Doomben over 1110m.  Three Sheets was 2nd that day and that horse has since run well on Millions day.  Won’t want to burn too much gas coming from barrier 11.

Liberation (2) has drawn horribly out wide.  Has put in 2 very good efforts since resuming.  Gets the services of Damian Browne to offset poor draw.

Alpen Rose (18) resumes here for the Heathcote stable.  Races well fresh and over this distance.  Drawn well and won’t mind a wet track if that eventuates.

Race 6

Royal Tithe (13) has been very good in both her 2 career starts.  She was 2.3 lengths behind Zelady’s Night Out on debut in the Calaway Gal before finishing just behind Candika last start.  Candika has since finished 3rd in the Magic Millions.  There looks to be a decent amount of speed here.  Luke Dittman can come across from barrier 8 and take a sit just off that speed before coming home strongly.

Other Hopes:

Love Spy (8) won it’s only start by 5.3 lengths at Toowoomba.  While she didn’t beat much, she looked good in gapping them.  Should take improvement and will race in a forward position.

One Golden Day (9) has drawn poorly out wide.  However she has plenty of speed and if she can get across without too much fuss she can figure in the finish.  Form leading into this has been consistently good.

Heart Skipt A Beat (6) has been thereabouts in all her starts.  Will be running on but probably needs to step up a notch.

Race 7

Storm Fighter (7) has been racing in good form since having a short break.   Last start was a blip on the radar but he still worked home well after being bumped early in the race.  He won the start prior in impressive fashion.  There is a significant rider change with Damian Browne hopping back on after Cassie Schmidt rode him last time.  Drawn barrier 11 again which could prove tricky but we’re in good hands with DJB.

Other Hopes:

High Esteem (1) ran well in the Goldmarket last start when having his 1st run in QLD.  Drawn to get a nice run.

Gid Up Strop (10) resumes here and has raced well fresh in the past.  Was very good in 2 runs last preparation and is a classy animal.  Drawn out but will get back and hit the line strongly.

Right Or Wrong (14) was hard ridden a long way out but still finished well at the Gold Coast last week when resuming.  He’ll be fitter for the run and will appreciate the extra 200m.

Race 8

Shotacross The Bow (2) has been in top form since resuming.  He won here over 1200m before finishing strongly for 4th in the Vo Rogue over 1300m.  While he drops back to 1200m, he’ll enjoy the bigger track as shown by his perfect record here.  He’s drawn wide but Brad Stewart will settle back and come home with a wet sail.  He’ll take a power of stopping.

Other Hopes:

Too Good To Refuse (1) resumes here after showing plenty last preparation.  While he’ll be better over further, the stable has a high opinion of him and I’d expect him to show up fresh.  Will be finding the line late.

Privlaka (6) has been racing ok in better races than this.  Will get a nice run towards the front and can bounce back here.

My Girl Hayley (11) didn’t have much luck last start in the Vo Rogue but finished off strongly.  Drawn wide but has ability and did win only other start here.

Best Bets

Race 1 – Shotover River (1)

Race 4 – Lordag (3)

Race 8 – Shotacross The Bow (2)