With last Saturday’s meeting being abandoned, we are faced with a monster 10 race card this Saturday. The track is currently rated a Good 4 with the rail in the true position. There is a slight chance of showers over the coming days but I’m expecting those to not eventuate.
Four of these faced off at the Sunshine Coast 2 weeks ago and that’s the form line that I think will produce the winner. Double Impact (1) won that race with relative ease. He settled at the back of the field before gobbling them up in the straight. He carries the same weight here and I can’t see any of these turning the tables. Settling back obviously isn’t advantageous at Doomben and I don’t think we’ll see a repeat of that tactic. In a small field, he should be closer to the action. Other hopes to Tracey’s Angel (3), Best Of The Rest (5) and Flying Home (2).
This race for 2 year old colts and geldings is really one that you don’t want to be messing with. We’ve got 1st starters who have not been seen, horses from North Queensland, 1 from NSW and locals with less than impressive form. There’s 9 other races to bet in.
Scratch that. There’s 8 other races to bet in. The 2 year old fillies go around here and there’s far too many unknowns for my liking.
Going with Espiritu (3) in this sprint over 1110m for fillies and mares. She has never been out of the trifecta in 7 starts and was really good last campaign. As would be expected in a race of this distance, there is plenty of speed. Cassie Schmidt who claims 3kg will be able to settle the horse just off that speed before launching home in the straight. She’s undefeated in 2 1st up runs. Other hopes to Tiger Dimejan (1), Vienna Queen (5) and Riverbolda (11).
It’s hard to go past Knight Templar (2) in the boy’s 1110m one metro win race. Since coming to Qld he has been flying. He’s registered 2 wins and a 2nd in his 3 starts here. From barrier 1 Scott Galloway will be able to get a dream run. Other hopes to Superstition (12), River Spirit (9) and Florida Fellow (3).
This isn’t a strong Open Handicap over 1200m. Bart and James Cummings bring
The Peak (2) north and have placed it in a very winnable race. It’s form in Sydney has been quite good with close finishes behind the likes of Generalife and Inside Job in Stakes and BM95 races. Surely that puts it right in this race where the majorit of horses aren’t world beaters or racing that well. He comes here 2nd up and has a 50% record under those circumstances. Gets the services of top jockey Damian Browne who will be able to race midfield or possibly better before finishing strongly. Other hopes to Excellantes (1), Architect (8) and Londehero (10).
***The Peak has been scratched. It basically picked itself by default here so it’s a little tougher now. Will put Excellantes (1) on top. Will get a sweet run and prove hard to catch. Adding Theft (9) to the other hopes***
True Royal (3) is racing in excellent form at the moment. He’s been in the trifecta 8 of 11 starts but I thought his win last start at the Sunshine Coast when he took on the older horses and gave them a lesson. Back to his own age he’ll be hard to toss. He’s drawn well in barrier 5 for Damian Browne who will be able to settle in the first handful of horses. Other hopes to Divine Service (2), Vienna Royale (4) and The Lynches (8).
***Boo! True Royal has been scratched. Divine Service (2) becomes our top pick. It will sit up on the speed from barrier 1 and will give a sight. I’ll add Upstart Pride (6) to the other hopes.***
I think Queen Of The Lochs (4) gets every possible opportunity here to win. She’ll get her preferred dry surface which is a big positive. She’s a model of consistency having only been out of the trifecta in 5 of 19 starts. Besides a wet track failure she’s been racing really well lately. She enters this on the back of 2 2nds where she lost by a head and nose. From barrier 3 Tegan Harrison will be able to get to the lead relatively easily. That will make her very hard to run down over the 1200m here. Other hopes to Breakfast In Bed (3), Endless Shadow (5) and Pickabee (6).
Our Boy Nicholas (1) has been in super form after a short break. In the 3 starts since that break he’s finished 2nd twice and won easily on the other occasion. Last start he finished 2nd to Tinto who has been flying. That race was a much tougher proposition than this. He has a super record at the track with 3 wins and 2nd from 5 starts. He’s drawn barrier 5 for Jimmy Orman whose 3kg claim is of great benefit. From there he’ll be able to park right behind the action in front. Other hopes to L’Entrecote (7), Elmantosh (2) and Bewhatyouwannabe (4).
There will be plenty of juice to add to the quaddie with the final race being a doozy! I have a nagging feeling about Believenreceive at the massive odds but the way it weakened last time out, I just can’t put on top. Will get a lot of favours and at over $20, could be worth a wager. Pro Consul (6) has drawn barrier 15 which potentially poses problems. However he drops significantly in grade from his nice effort last start. He hit the line strongly over 1200m in Open class suggesting the 1350m will suit. If Mick Cahill gets an ounce of luck from the wide gate, they’ll be hard pressed to hold him out coming home. Other hopes to Believenreceive (5), French Lesson (8) and Caellum (11).
Race 5 – Knight Templar (2)
Race 9 – Our Boy Nicholas (1)