Racing from Brisbane this Saturday comes to us from Doomben. This will be the case more often than not with the Eagle Farm revamp. Last Saturday here we raced on a heavy surface and the track held up quite well. Our 2 best bets saluted and if you got on prior to Saturday you were treated to a nice price about Volkhere.
As at Thursday morning the track is rated a heavy 8. That’s surprising given the rain that fell Wednesday. It’s expected to clear up and you would suspect that the track should return to possibly a dead 5 surface by the first race Saturday. The rail is out 3.5m.
***Weather and Track Update: Super day on the cards with a top of 25 and sunny skies. Track rated a dead 5 but you would think that will be upgraded.***
Before I get into Saturday’s card, I’ll touch on Wednesday’s Ipswich meeting where we found 5 winners from the 8 races. The best paying $7.50. Not a bad effort considering how traditionally Ipswich is a difficult track to find a winner.
Life At Sea (2) from the Toby Edmonds stable has raced well since a spell. 1st up he broke his maiden status with a 1.5 length win at Ipswich. He then finished a length 2nd at this track and trip. From gate 3 jockey Matt McGuren should be able to position the horse in a prime position. He also claims 3kg which drops the horse 3.5kg from last start. Currently around the $15 mark, I think that’s definitely worth having a crack at. Other hopes to Dansolei (11), Shadowside (1) and Sambuca Shot (3).
Get your darts out people. It’s the weekly distance race. I’m going with Novikov (4) from the Tony Crane yard. This guy has won his past 2 starts, showing a clean set of heals in the straight in both. Last start over 2100m he really looked like he appreciated the extra metres. This race is no harder so I expect him to run well for Larry Cassidy. Other hopes to Leonardo Express (1), Strategic Shadow (10) and Heater (3).
Fine Bubbles (1) saluted for Silk supporters last start when it won over 1400m. It drops back to 1200m here after a 21 day break (the same sized break it had before winning last time). I don’t see that as a problem as it was competitive with some handy types in Sydney. The horse that ran 2nd last start Rebel Dancer won last weekend. Rises 0.5kg with Jim Byrne replacing Damian Browne which I don’t see as a negative. It has drawn out in barrier 10 but Byrne shouldn’t too much drama finding a position by either going forward or settling midfield. Other hopes to Pretty Face (6), Shapin Lady (5) and Miss Stash (2).
Harada Bay (6) simply loves this track and distance. He is undefeated in the 2 starts he’s had here. He was set to run last Saturday but was scratched due to the wet weather. That could work to his advantage here as he races at his best when on the fresh side. He’s drawn barrier 2 for Jimmy Byrne and that should provide the horse with a super run to allow him to fly over the top of them. Other hopes to Saluter (4), Jetset Lad (2) and Motorised (5).
Our Boy Nicholas (4) was outstanding last start when he stormed home to win by 2 lengths with 3rd a further 2.5 lengths back. That was at this track and over this trip. It is a step up in grade but I think he’s up to it. He draws barrier 1 for Jimmy Byrne which will enable him to settle a lot closer than he has in past outings. That could be ominous for those behind him looking to make up ground. Other hopes to Big Decision (2), Tints (11) and Itchintowin (12).
This looks to be a very open race. Barriers will play a big role in the final outcome. Vaz De Torres (7) draws barrier 4 for Robbie Fradd and I can see the South African making the absolute most of that. He’ll be able to park up close just off the speed whereas other leading hopes will either have to go harder earlier or pull back from their bad draws. Last start this horse came with a powerful finish to win here over this trip. The 1615m is his preferred journey as shown by his record of 3 wins from 6. 2 from 3 at the track and trip. Will appreciate the sting out of the track. Other hopes to Bernitchy (11), Pasquinel (2) and Red Hot Dazzler (10).
The class runner in this race is Kingdoms (1). For that he’s been lumped with 59kg which at first glance looks a fair whack. However when you look at what his rivals have been allocated and their respective class levels, then it doesn’t seem as bad. This guy is Group 1,2 and 3 placed with listed wins. He’s been nominated for the Cups and Cox Plate which you can’t ever foresee for the rest of this field. He’s been freshened up after 2 good runs in Brisbane where he won the Centenary Mile fresh and then ran 2nd to Jetset Lad in the Tatt’s Mile here. He races well on the fresh side and should get the favours from barrier 4 for Larry Cassidy. Other hopes to Ferment (4), Trakstar (8) and Billy Aucash (6).
You Did What (6) sounds like a question I’d be asked after a big night on the piss. Unlike me, he won’t have the wobbly boots on and should show these a clean set of heals. This guy has been racing in really good form of late and that was never more apparent than when he won last start defeating Teronado and Avaladyluck over this trip. After drawing wide and being slow away he settled back before coming over the top. He’s drawn much better here in barrier 3 and jockey Luke Tarrant will be able to park the horse a little closer. With the claim for Tarrant he will carry even less than he did last start for winning a similar strength race. Other hopes to Star Sammy (1), Gundy Spirit (13) and Cleaver (7).
Race 5 – Our Boy Nicholas (4)
Race 7 – Kingdoms (1)
Race 8 – You Did What (6)
***I have been asked for Sydney and Melbourne selections recently so here’s the way I’ll be going for those meetings today:
Race 1 – Burning Passion (2)
Race 2 – Senta Helga (8)
Race 3 – Pentometer (2)
Race 4 – Miss Alibi (7)
Race 5 – Rugged Cross (10)
Race 6 – Almalad (1)
Race 7 – Bonfire (3)
Race 8 – Murder Of Crows (11)
Race 1 – Veuvelicious (1)
Race 2 – Are There Any (3)
Race 3 – Text’n Hurley (12)
Race 4 – By The Grace (4)
Race 5 – Vain Queen (15)
Race 6 – Chivalry (9)
Race 7 – A Time For Julia (6)
Race 8 – Messene (7)
Race 9 – Stipulate (6)