The racing world’s eye will be firmly cast on Moonee Valley this weekend for the Manikato on Friday night and the Cox Plate Saturday. While obviously these deserve attention, we still have racing in Brisbane that warrants involvement.
Doomben is currently rated a Good 3 and should remain that way with fine weather predicted. There is a slight chance of a shower or storm Saturday but that shouldn’t be till after racing has finished. The rail is out 1m. Looks a challenging card.
Tough to gather a feel for the opening race for 2 year olds with so many 1st starters who haven’t had a trial. I couldn’t possibly give a push here. I see $1.40 offered for Frequendly…phuleeeez.
The last month or so has been good for the Saturday distance race. The likes of Hi Son and Volkhere have made it a race you could have some confidence betting in. Well that’s not the case this week. We’re back to the BM75 Dartboard Stakes where it helps to be Phil “The Power” Taylor to find the winner. Paraggi (11) finished 2nd by a short 1/2 head in his debut for Liam Birchley. This guy at times raced quite well in Victoria against some nice types. He finished 2nd to Ali Vital here as a 3 year old over this trip. In an ordinary race, he may have a slight class edge. Other hopes to Colour Charge (4), Highly Gentle (3) and Danehill Native (7).
Tukiyo (4) looks good value (as much as $15 on Bet365 Thursday). She resumes here and has a great record 1st up with 2 wins and a 2nd from 3 resumptions. Last campaign she was racing against some nice types such as Srikandi and Tiger Tees. She was far from disgraced. From barrier 4 Jimmy Byrne can get a great run on the speed. Other hopes to Discreet (1), Elusive Storm (2) and Queen Of The Lochs (3).
I’m looking forward to seeing the return of speed machine Love Rocks (1). He created great excitement late last year with the way he went about things. He has been awarded 62.5kg but will get some relief with James Orman 3kg. I don’t think that will be enough to stop him. He draws barrier 4 and you would think Orman will just ping the gates, lead and win. His last trial in preparation for this was 4.8 length win over Tukiyo who we’ll see go around in the previous. Other hopes to Kempelly (3), Prettyfamous (7) and Vintage Moss (2).
I thought the run of Amizade (4) was the best of those that ran around here over 1110m a fortnight ago. Yes that sounds an obvious statement given she won by 2.3 lengths. What impressed me was the way she did it at both ends. She pushed forward to lead before finding plenty in the straight. She rises in weight and distance here but from the inside draw I think Bridget Grylls can do the same thing. The run of Miss Cover Girl caught the eye but I just can’t have a horse that gets so far back, particularly with how Doomben has been playing recently. I see a similar situation to the What About Me and Sea Red race last week where we found What About Me at $7.50. Other hopes to Miss Cover Girl (3), Freezethemillions (6) and Deuced (5).
This is a competitive race over 1600m. Grayson Square (4) has been racing very well this campaign. He has won his past 2 over 1400m and 1350m. This is a step up in distance but I believe he can handle it. He has placed in 2 previous starts over the trip. I felt the way he picked up in the straight last start also indicates the extra couple of hundred metres won’t hurt. From barrier 5 Travis Wolfgram who claims 2kg can go forward to either lead or box seat. Other hopes to Arctic (3), Danesiri (7) and Shotover River (9).
The Gregory Hickman trained Lyric (8) has put in 2 very good efforts since coming up to Brisbane recently. In his 1st start here he stormed home to beat Grayson Square over 1200m. He then finished 2nd to Gojo Mimo when leaders were greatly advantaged. He steps up to 1350m here for the 1st time which does raise concerns. However the way he has finished off his past 2 races, I feel that it won’t be a problem. He’s drawn barrier 3 which should see Michael Cahill give the horse a super run in the box seat. Other hopes to Mishani Stealth (4), Gundy Spirit (11) and Just A Perla (10).
A field of 16 where there is no shortage of speed makes this a very interesting last race. I was quite confident about the chances of Dream Of Slips (13) last time out but it disappointed a tad for 4th. I’m prepared to give it another go as it was dominant in the 2 starts prior. Where luck could play a large role in the outcome for a lot of these, this guy has drawn barrier 1 which will enable Bridget Grylls to place the horse in a forward position to eliminate to an extent the need for luck. Carries just 52kg after the claim. Other hopes to Power Supply (4), Covert Chamour (2) and Rock Royalty (7).
Best Bet Doomben
Race 4 – Love Rocks (1)
Apologies for stating the obvious here. I’d love to give a couple of best bets that were at least $3 but this really looks an open card and I can’t declare any more than 1 with confidence.
Race 1 – Absolutely no interest here
Race 2 – Straight Gold (5)
Race 3 – Lumosty (1)
Race 4 – Galaxy Pegasus (10)
Race 5 – Au Revoir (4)
Race 6 – Hooked (6)
Race 7 – Atmosphere (10)
Race 8 – Fawkner (2)
Race 9 – Ava’s Delight (6)
Race 1 – Redoutable Heart (3)
Race 2 – Furnaces (5)
Race 3 – Grand Marshal (6)
Race 4 – Monton (2)
Race 5 – Transfers (2)
Race 6 – Atmospherical (10)
Race 7 – Underestimation (12)
Race 8 – Boss Lane (10)