18/10/14 – Doomben, Caulfield and Randwick

ccup

All attention this Saturday will be focused on Caulfield for the running of the Caulfield Cup.  Rightly so but we still have meetings all around the country that need attention and I’ll be taking my usual look at Doomben and then including tips for Melbourne and Sydney.

We had a good day at Doomben last Saturday with 4 winners found on the 8 race card which produced a 118% POT.  This Saturday the track is currently rated a Good 3 with the rail out 6m.  There is a chance of showers but I would doubt the track will get any worse than dead.

Doomben

Race 1

The 2 year olds kick us of over 1050m.  I’m going with the Mick Mair first starter The Wildman (5).  This guy won his trial at the Sunshine Coast by 3.3 lengths in nice style.  Falchion was 5.7 lengths behind him in that trial and that horse ran 2nd on debut behind Hot Snippety.  From barrier 5 Tegan Harrison should be able to give the horse a nice run.  As is the case with all these 2 year old races with limited form, buyer beware.  Other hopes to Madotti (6), Lady Sniper (8) and Military Miss (10).

Race 2

I thought the run of Falzini (1) was a good effort last start.  He sat up on the speed with Thief Of Hearts and managed to fight strongly to finish a length off the winner for 2nd.  That was over 1400m and he steps up to 1600m here but what he has in his favour is a lack of speed.  Matt McGuren who claims 2kg should be able to dictate terms.  If there’s a leader bias like last week then he’ll be even tougher to get past.  All bar his 2nd race start have been very good efforts.  Other hopes to Rogali (3), First Draft (6) and Amajill (4).

Race 3

There looks to be a distinct lack of speed in this race which could cruel the chances of many of these.  One horse that can make it’s own luck by going forward is What About Me (1).  Jockey James Orman who claims 3kg can take up a prominent position either in the lead or in the box seat from barrier 2.  He’s had 2 starts since a long spell and both have been full of merit.  Last start he finished 2nd behind Grayson Square over 1400m who has since won again.  The step up to 1640m here will suit.  Likes the sting out of the ground.  Other hopes to Sea Red (6), Busselton (8) and Vaz De Torres (5).

Race 4

The weekly distance race over 2040m sees yet another clash between Hi Son and Volkhere.  Do we simply just take them in the quinella again?  They have run 1,2 the past 5 times.  I felt Hi Son showed signs of a long campaign taking it’s toll last time.  He loomed up and looked to be motoring before caving in.  Volkhere really showed some fight after looking to be gone.  Can he lift again?  There’s just so many questions in this race that it’s probably best to avoid.  Having said that I’m prepared to have a few dollars on Bingo Rose (5).  I am concerned that she gets back in her runs.  However the majority could be looking for a spell in the straight.  She has appeared to appreciate the step up in journey her last 2 races.  Last over 1800m she was starting to gather speed in the straight before copping interference for a big part of the straight.  She came again in the final 50m but obviously it was over by that stage.  Gets in with a postage stamp weight after the claim for James Orman.  Other hopes to Volkhere (2), Ongoing Venture (8) and Hi Son (1).

Race 5

Written Above All (5) from barrier 1 should get a super run for Luke Tarrant.  His last 3 starts have been very good.  Three back he won followed by some close up efforts to some good horses (arguably better than this lot).  He rises in weight but is down in class and I just like the way he manages to always finish off.  Other hopes to Abaddon (10), Lock’s Legend (7) and Tahoe City (9).

Race 6

This is a really even affair.  Some of the major players have drawn poorly.  Gotitallwrong (3) offers good value around the $13 mark.  She’s been close up in her last 3 starts.  In all those races she’s been finishing off strongly.  Last start she drew wide and was finishing like a freight train and would have won if the race was slightly further.  She gets barrier 3 here for Bridget Grylls who claims 2kg which should see the horse getting a much better run.  Other hopes to Little Bit Ditsy (5), Vergara (9) and Kalandula (1).

Race 7

There looks to be a lack of pace outside the 2 Gollan runners.  With the rail out 6m, that should again play into the hands of Rocket To Glory (2).   Last start he was able to roll along in front before dashing away in the straight.  With the claim for Luke Tarrant he will carry less than he did last start.  Other hopes to The Storeman (8), Territory (1) and Steel Zip (4).

Race 8

Gojo Mimo (4) has drawn the extreme outside.  However this guy has gate speed and should be able to cross to take up the lead.  I was really impressed with the way he led last start and ran his rivals ragged.  They simply couldn’t catch him.  That was over 1200m and he drops back to 111om which I can see being an advantage.  If they try to take him on for speed he should be stronger at the finish.  He’s a horse in form and I’m prepared to back him at double figure odds.  Other hopes to I’m Usain (5), Londehero (6) and More Leverage (9).

Best Bets Doomben

Race 3 – What About Me (1)

Race 7 – Rocket To Glory (2)

 

Caulfield

Race 1 – Sea Spray (4)

Race 2 – Armada (11)

Race 3 – Maastricht (3)

Race 4 – Kumaon (1)

Race 5 – Leebaz (6)

Race 6 – Sweet Idea (3)

Race 7 – Signoff (9)

Race 8 – Big Money (5)

Race 9 – Lidari (14)

Race 10 – Anatina (3)

 

Randwick

Race 1 – Tempt Me Not (11)

Race 2 – Lucky Chappy (1)

Race 3 – Kermadec (4)

Race 4 – Kuro (2)

Race 5 – Deep Field (9)

Race 6 – Disclaimer (2)

Race 7 – Mahara (5)

Race 8 – Avoid Lightning (3)

15/10/14 – Ipswich

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Firstly I’d like to pass on my deepest condolences to the family and friends of Carly-Mae Pye.  If you have a win, give some thought to donating to the National Jockeys Trust.  It’s just a small gesture we can all do to show our appreciation to the men and women that risk their lives every time they climb on a horse.

Midweek racing comes to us from Ipswich this week.  This will be the case for the next 5 Wednesdays.  This will prove a challenge as I’ve always found finding winners on my home track a hit or miss scenario.  One week you may pick 4 or 5 and the next time you’ll get a duck egg.  There’s only one way to find out and that’s by getting involved.

After storms Monday night and early Tuesday morning the track is rated a Dead 4.  No further rain is predicted so we should be racing on a good 3 surface come kick off.  The rail is out 1m.

Race 1

We kick things off with a maiden over 1200m.  Ten Speed (3) was unlucky not to win on debut here 2 weeks ago.  He jumped awkwardly and then copped a check shortly after the start and settled 2nd last.  As he came out to make his run at the top of the straight he was held up before hitting the line hard.  He went down by a nose but the way he found the line suggests he’ll be tough to hold out here.  He meets Poetic Saga who he narrowly beat in that race worse at the weights but will get a better run from barrier 5.  Other hopes to Burleigh Bullet (4), Poetic Saga (6) and Georgio (2).

Race 2

Kala’s Belle (3) should be ready to go here 3rd up.  She has a terrific record over the 1200m, winning 3 and placing 2nd in 5 starts.  Last start she finished 2nd to Satirical Lass.  She was 3 lengths behind but Satirical Lass did run a class record time.  From barrier 4 jockey Luke Dittman who claims 3kg should be able to settle right on the speed.  Other hopes to Hollywood Barbie (7), Tracey’s Angel (1) and Attitudinal Miss (2).

Race 3

Tricky maiden here over 1100m.  We have tried horses with so so form, 1st starters with average trial form and 1st starters who haven’t been seen.  That all suggests this is a no bet race.  For those looking to have a bet, the Tony Gollan trained Tina Melina (9) could give a fair sight on debut.  It finished 4th in it’s trial and has drawn well here for Tegan Harrison in barrier 4 which often proves beneficial from this starting point.  I won’t even attempt to list other hopes.

Race 4

I thought the run of Glitter Face (13) last start was full of merit.  The 1666m start at Ipswich can be troublesome if drawn wide.  This guy drew barrier 14 and was forced to do a fair bit of work to cross into a forward position.  Despite that he managed to keep chasing to the line to finish 2nd.  Here he draws barrier 3 so the task for Anthony Allen will be a lot easier.  He can take up a forward position and prove hard to run down.  Other hopes to Action Button (12), Beldan (1) and Marlon’s Lad (3).

Race 5

Tough way to kick off the quaddie.  With limited confidence I’m going with Star Dragon (5).  He resumed last start in Saturday class over this trip.  He led the field up at a reasonable clip and didn’t get a great deal of peace.  It was no surprise to see him gas out in the straight and run 10 lengths last.  However this is a drop in class and I’m buoyed by the fact he beat Oak ‘N’ Arthur a few starts back.  That shows he does have the capability to produce a run.   He’ll be able to box seat here for Luke Tarrant who claims 1.5kg.  Other hopes to Albert’s Choice (3), Domini (2) and Treasure Map (7).

Race 6

The Tony Gollan trained Highly Gentle (4) creates a lot of interest here.  This former French horse resumed a few weeks ago at the Sunshine Coast after 682 days off.  I thought it put in a very good effort considering the massive break it had.  In France it won over 2000m so the step up in trip here to 1666m should be ideal.  Tegan Harrison will be able to take up a prominent position from the inside gate and with the increased fitness from it’s 1st up blow, I’d suspect it will be right in the finish.  Other hopes to Endless Puzzle (5), Eye Winsome (6) and Cash ‘n’ Style (1).

Race 7

Boss Burr (4) has come back from a year off in very good order.  1st up he won at Toowoomba over 1000m with 59kg by 1.5 lengths.  He then drew wide over the same trip and after doing a great deal of work managed to run 3rd.  He draws beautifully in barrier 2 here for Travis Wolfgram who claims 2kg.  He’ll appreciate the weight relief.  In an even affair he’ll give us a run for our money.  Other hopes to Headless (8), Val’s Boy (1) and Classic Bend (7).

Race 8

Sunset Hills (2) was luckless when resuming.  How things panned out was quite unbelievable.  After settling nicely in 3rd he looked to be going well entering the straight.  When straightening he looked to come out but was boxed in.  At the 200m mark it looked like he was about to get clear again only for the gap to close on him.  I felt he was travelling well at that stage.  2nd up here he’s drawn barrier 1 for Michael Cahill who will hopefully avoid trouble from there.  He’ll get a spot 4 or 5 back from a decent speed and will look to charge home.  Other hopes to Colony (7), Twisted Mountain (6) and Jack’s Jet (8).

Best Bets

No best bets today.  It looks a challenging card and I’m not prepared to declare anything.

11/10/14 – Doomben, Caulfield and Randwick

Doomben

 

Race 11st Tail And All (4)

2nd Zoomania (5)

3rd Borehole (2)

4th Shotover River (6)

 

Race 2 - 1st Wicked Investment (8)

2nd Mishani Di Caprio (4)

3rd Hot Snippety (10)

4th Arteta (1)

 

Race 3 – 1st Mishani Stealth (5)

2nd Cracco (2)

3rd Star Sammy (1)

4th Jet Down On It (8)

 

Race 4 – 1st Bush Aviator (6)

2nd Dubawi Gold (1)

3rd Darcey (7)

4th Flying Home (2)

 

Race 5 – 1st Coworth Park (1)

2nd Strategic Shadow (12)

3rd Ongoing Venture (2)

4th Valerie D’Amour (7)

 

Race 6 - 1st Elusive Storm (2)

2nd Queen Of The Lochs (4)

3rd Discreet (1)

4th Tear It Up (6)

 

Race 7 – 1st You Did What (2)

2nd Buakaw (1)

3rd Grayson Square (5)

4th Gundy Spirit (6)

 

Race 8 – 1st Miss Cover Girl (4)

2nd Hazard Bay (3)

3rd True Passion (8)

4th Girls Command (6)

 

 

Caulfield

Race 1 – Of The Brave (2)

Race 2 – Ygritte (6)

Race 3 – Sistine Demon (3)

Race 4 – Rubick (7)

Race 5 – Protectionist (1)

Race 6 – Fawkner (3)

Race 7 –  Trust In A Gust (4)

Race 8 – Lumosty (6)

Race 9 – Rich Enuff (3)

Race 10 – Shamal Wind (2)

 

Randwick

Race 1 – Moral Outrage (5)

Race 2 – Best Case (2)

Race 3 – Good Project (2)

Race 4 – Black Revolver (8)

Race 5 – Riva De Lago (3)

Race 6 – Sweynesse (1)

Race 7 – Neena Rock (3)

Race 8 – Law (13)

 

Best Bets

Doomben – Race 5 Coworth Park (1)

Race 7 You Did What (2)

 

Caulfield – Race 8  Lumosty (6)

Race 9  Rich Enuff (3)

Race 10  Shamal Wind (2)

 

Randwick – Race 7  Neena Rock (3)

04/10/14 – Gold Coast

gcturf

Brace yourself….Brisbane metropolitan Saturday racing isn’t at Doomben this week!  We head down the M1 to the Gold Coast.  As of Thursday the track is rated a Good 3 and with fine weather predicted it will remain that way.  The rail is out 2m from the 1400m mark to the winning post and 1m the remainder of the track.

Race 1

We kick the day off with a 2 year old race for colts and geldings.  Every one of the twelve are making their debut.  Good luck!  Obviously the smart play is to sit out and just watch but where’s the fun in that?  I’ll put Redsson (1) on top based purely on the fact he’s one of the rare few that have had a trial.  He won by 2.8 lengths and looked good in the process.  Draws an inside gate which is crucial over the 900m scamper.  Other hopes to Dock Of The Bay (4), Bottega Louie (3) and Shipwrecked (8).

Race 2

Again we have a 2 year old race over 900m but this time it’s for the fillies.  All bar 2 are making their debut which again suggests we should stay out.  For those that like involvement, I’ll be going with the Les Ross trained Frequendly (3).  He won his trial by 2.8 lengths and like our pick in race 1, looked good doing so.  Drawn nicely in barrier 3 for Brad Stewart.  Other hopes to Bam’s Princess (2), Madotti (4) and Mia Madalena (5).

Race 3

The weekly distance race has drawn a field of just 6 runners.  We get to see another clash between Hi Son and Volkhere.  I’m going with Hi Son (1) once again to finish on top.  He has an amazing will to win as seen by his past 2 wins over Volkhere where he’s triumphed by a half head in each following a straight long battle.  He meets that horse better at the weights and has drawn to be able to take a sit just behind the leaders.  Rikki Jamieson claims 3kg and has won 4 of 7 on the horse.  Other hopes to Volkhere (2), Black Ninja (5) and Darci Be Good (3).

Race 4

Espiritu (11) grabbed the cash for us last start and I think she can do the same again here.  Last start over this trip she sat midfield before unleashing a powerful run entering the straight.  She came right over the top of them and looked to have a bit more to give.  There will be a strong speed set here and I can see jockey Priscilla Schmidt who claims 2kg just sitting off the pace before coming home strong.  Other hopes to Thefifthhole (3), More Leverage (5) and Tulla Touch (10).

Race 5

Sea Red (11) is another horse that did the right thing by us last start and I’m sticking fat with her here.  She’s a horse that was expected to reach great levels early in her career yet for whatever reason was a bit disappointing.  However she’s come back from a spell in magnificent order.  She’s won both her starts and her last start win over 1600m was excellent.  She sat midfield before exploding past them in the straight.  Although up in weight slightly she can do a similar thing here.  Other hopes to Bingo Rose (5), Oak ‘N’ Arthur (3) and Scarborough (4).

Race 6

Rockleigh (4) was impressive on debut.  After being slow away and settling near last, this colt put in an eye catching finish to go down narrowly to Aimee.  Not a bad effort at your first race start given the quality of Aimee.  The step up to 1400m will suit as will a solid tempo.  Gets the services of Michael Cahill who will hopefully assist in getting the horse out of the gates better.  Other hopes to Thief Of Hearts (1), Hijack Hussy (5) and Suzy’s Boy (2).

Race 7

Kempelly (7) resumes here after racing very consistently last campaign.  Throughout that campaign he stepped up through the grades and narrowly missed out on the Weetwood.  He has won 7 of 17 career starts and has a great record over the trip.  He goes well fresh and has the services of the very much in form Robbie Fradd.  Draws barrier 5 which should see him box seat.  Other hopes to Rocket To Glory (2), Living On A Prayer (5) and Steel Zip (1).

Race 8

The past few starts Grayson Square (8) has been run down late.  Despite stepping up slightly in distance here, there is a distinct difference to those previous 2 races.   Unlike those races, this race is devoid of speed.  I can see him rolling along out front with the light weight for Cassie Schmidt and proving very hard to catch.  He meets Jopa better at the weights and has won at the trip before.  Other hopes to Jopa (1), What About Me (6) and Reunite (5).

Best Bets

Race 4 – Espiritu (11)

Race 5 – Sea Red (11)

Race 6 – Rockleigh (4)

26/09/14 – Moonee Valley

mv

Moonee Valley kicks off a big weekend in Victorian racing tonight.  Track is rated a Dead 4 with showers a possibility.  The rail is out 3m which should suit on-pace runners.

Race 1 – Deiheros (1)

Race 2 – Commanding Jewel (2)

Race 3 – Let’s Rock’N’Roll (4)

Race 4 – Lankan Rupee (2)

Race 5 – Eloping (1)

Race 6 – Mourinho (5)

Race 7 – Almalad (1)

Race 8 – Eximius (6)

Best Bet

All up – Race 2 Commanding Jewel (2)

Race 4 Lankan Rupee (2)

Race 5  Eloping (1)