19/04/14 – Eagle Farm

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Happy Easter everyone.  I hope you all have a great time with family and importantly win on the punt.  We return to Eagle Farm this Saturday and thankfully the weather is fine so we’ll be treated to a Good 3 track.  This is excellent news given there’s 3 listed races on the card and the fact it’s a nightmare betting here when there is the slightest bit of moisture in the track.

***Weather update Saturday morning:  Another glorious day on the cards.  The track is rated a dead 4 which I’m finding a little confusing.  I didn’t think we’d had any rain since Thursday when the track was rated good.  Maybe the track’s been watered more than noted or Josh Hanson has paid a visit to the back straight again.  Should get back to good range with fine weather and 28 degrees.***

Race 1

We kick things off with an Open fillies and mares scamper over 1000m.  As is often the case with these shorter races, the speed should be solid.  Tukiyo (5) should get the gun run from barrier 2 and that’s the way I’m going.  This mare goes particularly well on the fresh side and resumes here after 56 days off.  Two starts back she won the listed Nudgee Quality over 1200m after the same amount of time off.  Last start she was only 1.5 lengths off Tiger Tees who has since won a Group 1.  Over the 1000m I have a feeling she could possibly run them into the ground.  Having Damian Browne in the saddle definitely doesn’t hurt.  Other hopes to La Tikka Rosa (3), Jacquetta (2) and Lisa Lost It (7).

Race 2

Anyone got a dart for this Class 6 over 2200m?  Tips ‘N’ Tales (10) will have a postage stamp to carry after the claim for Priscilla Schmidt.  The mare is down to carry 52.5kg but Schmidt can claim 2kg.  You would think she’ll claim nearly all of that.  There’s a lot of plodders in this race so to get such a weight advantage is a massive plus.  Tips ‘N’ Tales has shown a liking for these distance races as shown by her past 2 starts.  She beat Harbor Springs 2 starts back and then finished a close 3rd to Excellent Al.  Should settle midfield and be hard to hold out in the straight.  Other hopes to Harbor Springs (8), Angusroy (1) and Excellent Al (4).

Race 3

The 1st of our Listed races is a Quality over 1600m.  Gerald Ryan brings Angel Of Mercy (3) to Queensland after running 1.5 lengths off Catkins last start in Group 2 company.  That’s terrific form for a race like this.  Angel Of Mercy is undefeated in 2 starts over 1600m.  She should be able to sit midfield before hitting the line strongly.  Damian Browne takes the ride.  Short and sweet, it will do me.  Other hopes to Lady Echelon (4), Grey Assignment (1) and Pretty Pins (5).

Race 4

A big field of 16 two year olds go around here over 1000m which should guarantee plenty of speed.  It is a very open race, no doubt about it.  I’m going with Amizade (10).  This filly has had just the 1 start and she completely dominated.   Sure it was a midweek maiden but she won by 8 lengths and importantly ran decent time.  She’s drawn barrier 9 for Michael Cahill but she should be about to get across in front of those drawn inside her to take up a good position.  Other hopes to Freezethemillions (6), Grapevine (8) and Elitist (14).

Race 5

We have another 1000m race to kick off the quaddie.  This time it’s for the 3 year olds.  We should have ample speed again.  I think $10 currently about Whiskey Allround (1) is terrific value.  He resumes here on the back of 2 decent trials.  His 1st up record is good and has a perfect 2 from 2 at the track and distance.  He’s drawn in barrier 10 but Bobby El-Issa should be able to get him across to sit 5th or 6th.  He has raced against some quality opposition in the past and been very competitive.  Other hopes to Agitate (2), Siegfried (10) and Good Job Bro (3).

Race 6

The Princess Stakes over 1600m for 3 year old fillies is our 2nd Listed race for the day.  11 of the 16 faced each other here 2 weeks ago over 1400m so we have a clear form reference to go by.  However I’m not sure it’s as clear cut as that but am prepared to back the standout performer.  Little Bit Ditsy (6) was the eye catching run in that race when it steamed home to narrowly miss the cash.  Based on that run it’s fair to say that the 1600m here will suit it down to the ground.  Other hopes to Beatniks (10), Some Call Her Wild (4) and Best Yet To Come (11).

Race 7

Our final Listed race of the day is the Hinkler Quality over 1200m.  There’s some handy sprinters engaged so it should be a top race.  Love Rocks (5) was scratched last week when it had a wide gate and finds itself on the extreme outside again.  However unlike last week, this time it should be able to cross easily to take up the front running role.  This guy was impressive before he was sent for a spell and I’m really looking forward to seeing him recapture that.  He’s 2 from 2 over the distance and races well for Anthony Allen.  Other hopes to Benny’s Buttons (1), Excellantes (3) and Vintage Moss (9).

***Love Rocks has been scratched.  I can understand that for the second week in a row they’ve scratched it because of the bad barrier.  However I thought today it would easily find the front.  Oh well they know best.  Benny’s Buttons (1) did the business for us last start and goes on top now.  He should be able to sit 3rd or 4th and be strong at the finish.  I’ll add Tokamak (6) for exotic players.***

Race 8

We finish the card with a class 6 over 1400m.  The race looks to be devoid of speed so that could limit the chances of those that get back.  Kentucky Woman (12) looks an up and coming type that should be followed.  It’s only had the 5 starts and hasn’t been out of the placings in any of them.  Last start she won over this distance here when beating the very good Harada Bay.  As stated earlier there is not much pace here and Chris Munce will be able to position the horse close to the front.  With further improvement she’ll be hard to hold out.  Other hopes to Cum Dividend (3), More Leverage (8) and Buakaw (1).

Best Bets

Race 2 – Tips ‘N’ Tales (10)

Race 3 – Angel Of Mercy (3)

12/04/14 – Doomben Wrap Up

It was good to get back to Doomben after the debacle that was last week’s Eagle Farm meeting.  Well from a punting point of view anyway.  The Silk picked up 3 winners on the day and made a  nice little profit.  The winners being Sovereign Son (race 1), Elusive Storm (race 3) and Just A Perla (race 8).

Race 1 - Our top pick Girlsgogiddyup was scratched so by default our second pick Sovereign Son stepped up to be top pick.  He didn’t let us down!  Jockey Tim Bell settled last, started improving from the 800m and then ran on strongly in the straight to win by 1.3 lengths.  It paid $7.50 starting price but you were able to get double figures earlier in the day.  It was a great start to the day!

Race 2 –  Secret Garden ran 2nd by a narrow margin but the reality is that the winner Brave Ali was too good and did enough to win.  Secret Garden raced midfield throughout before picking up in the last few hundred metres.  Unfortunately it wasn’t good enough.  At $7 it would have been a nice follow up to the opener.

Race 3 - Our top pick Elusive Storm delivered the goods for us winning as a $2.80 favourite.  However you wouldn’t have been confident in the run as it raced 3 wide the entire trip.  Thankfully it had plenty of juice in the tank to pull away in the final 100m to win by 1.3 lengths.  Very good effort as was our shopping getting $5.50 in early markets.

Race 4 - I struggled to separate Le Cap and Final Crescendo when doing the form.  As it turned out I got them around the wrong way with Final Crescendo winning and winning fairly comfortably.  It was a good saver to have the quinella which paid $5.

Race 5 - When Love Rocks and The Storeman came out this turned into a 2 horse war.  Excellantes was our top pick with Seeking More clearly the only real other hope.  That’s how it turned out except again I had them around the wrong way.  Seeking More dictated terms in front and was too strong.  Excellantes made up late ground but was never really a shout.  The quinella paid only $3.60 but covered the Excellantes bet.

Race 6 – What a write off this race way.  Our top pick Heart Of Many never stood a chance.  He got in a speed battle before taking off at the 800m.  He was never going to have anything in the tank doing that and ran 3,2 lengths back in 9th.

Race 7 - Shiraz Attack was our top pick and finished 4th.  She made her run on the turn with the winner but fitness probably gave out 1st up.  She was only 1.8 lengths back and will be hard to beat 2nd up.

Race 8 - Just A Perla was exactly that for us in the last.  I thought this was a really good run.  It didn’t get things it’s own way in front but still had the guts to skip away in the straight to just hold on.  $4.70 was the starting price but I was able to get  $7.50 in the days prior.

12/04/14 – Doomben

Couresy of www.horseracing.com.au

If you’re looking for a dry track to bet at on Saturday then Doomben may be one of the few options available to you.  We’re in for a warm day with temperatures set to reach 33 degrees.  That obviously opens us up to a late storm but hopefully it holds off till after race 8.  The track is currently rated a Good 3 and will stay that way.  The rail is out 5m.

Before we get into this Saturday’s meeting, I’ll just reflect on last Saturday’s at Eagle Farm.  It was a very disappointing day for The Silk in regards to our top picks.  Not 1 of them saluted.  I don’t think I was alone and the difficulty of the day was highlighted by Nickiera winning the last at $111.  We did have some success with the exotics.  Our 4 hopes in race 5 finished in the First 4 which paid $4160.  I stupidly only boxed them up in a trifecta which paid $660 odd.  Still a nice collect but obviously 4 grand would have been nicer.

Race 1

The 2 year olds kick things off over 1200m and thankfully we don’t have to try to work out which of them can handle the wet.  Regardless of the track state, this is a tricky race trying to line up Gold Coast, Toowoomba and obviously Brisbane form.  I’m going with the dynamic duo of Matt Dunn and Glen Colless to get us away to a good start.  They team up with Girlsgogiddyup (9).  Her 1st up effort Wednesday last week was a total forgive run.  She ran 6th by 2.1 lengths but never got a crack at them in the straight with Colless sitting up.  She’s looking for the longer trip here and if Colless can get so close doing absolutely nothing then you’d have to think she has plenty of improvement and will go close to winning.  There should be ample speed for her to get clear running to storm home.  Other hopes to Sovereign Son (4), Combatant (1) and Mister Booze (3).

***Our top pick Girlsgogiddyup has been scratched.  I’ll put Sovereign Son (4) on top but I’ll just be having an involvement bet on it.  Despina (8) comes in for exotic players***

Race 2

The weekly distance event over 2030m sees many of the usual faces.  2 weeks ago we were on Margins (1) who finished 3rd behind Brave Ali and Secret Garden.  He was 3.5 lengths off Brave Ali and 3/4 of a length off Secret Garden.  That’s pretty good considering those 2 go particularly well on a heavy track and Margins really doesn’t like it.  Back on a dry track here and I think we’ll see a turnaround in the results.  As I stated last time, this guy has form around better horses and in better races.  He gets in with 56kg after the claim for Travis “Wolfman” Wolfgram.  Should get a sweet run from barrier 5.  Other hopes to Secret Garden (7), Arctic (6) and High Kin (5).

***Not a great start with another top pick in Margins getting scratched.  Secret Garden (7) now goes on top.  Again not as confident as I was with Margins so just an involvement bet.  Heartfelt Quest (4) comes in for exotic players***

Race 3

I’m going with Elusive Storm (3) in this BM85 over 1350m.  This mare resumed a month ago and won a class 4 over 1200m.  She found the line well that day.  Her form last campaign was very good with a number of wins.  She’s drawn barrier 8 which has the potential to be awkward but apprentice Sam Payne can be proactive early and get the horse into a decent position towards the front.  Payne claims 3kg which will bring Elusive Storm into 54kg.  She steps up in distance and it has been a month since her last run but she won in similar circumstances last campaign.  Other hopes to Tambo’s Jewel (4), Miss Bradbury (8) and Ticket To Dream (9).

Race 4

Le Cap (1) delivered the cash for us last time he raced and I’m sticking with him here.  Yes he goes up in weight by 2kg to 58kg but he is flying at the moment.  This guy loves the 1200m and won at his only go at the trip here.  He’s drawn barrier 6 for Dale Missen and I would think Misso will be able to get him across to 2nd or 3rd early.  Missen has ridden the horse 3 times for 3 wins.  He didn’t look at all comfortable on the heavy going in last start’s win so getting a good track here will really be to his liking.  I’ll be taking a quinella with it and Final Crescendo (4).  Other hopes to Final Crescendo (4), Zippity Lass (7) and Covert Charmour (2).

Race 5

There’s definitely no shortage of speed in this scamper over 1110m.  That could pose big problems for those drawn wide, particularly Love Rocks.  I’m a big fan of this horse but 1st up off the extreme outside, how hard will he have to go to find the lead?  It’s also not confidence boosting reading that the trainer was considering whether or not to start the horse because of the barrier.  One horse that won’t have dramas finding a position close to the rail is Excellantes (1).  This guy has a super record at the track and distance winning 3 of 6 and placing 2nd in another.  Last start he was less than half a length off Tiger Tees who has since won the Group 1 Galaxy in Sydney.  He will carry 57kg after the claim for Adrian Holt who returns from injury and is really hungry and intent on proving himself as reported in Thursday’s Courier Mail.  Drawing barrier 4 should see the horse possie up in the leading 4 or 5 horses.  Other hopes to Love Rocks (2), Seeking More (4) and The Storeman (5).

***Loves Rocks and The Storeman have come out.  I really hope you got on Excellantes early when it was $5-$5.50 as it’s now into $2.60.  For the exotics I’ll put in Sporting Page (11) and Pure Purrfection (9)***

Race 6

I’m sticking with Heart Of Many (3) after his encouraging 3rd last start.  He was never really a winning hope that day when Kiss Me Deadly (since won) controlled the race.  As I said that was encouraging as he was stepping up in distance after 24 days between runs.  With increased fitness he’ll be tough to beat.  Chris Munce will be able to put the horse into a great position from barrier 5.  2 starts back he gave a class 4 field a touch up over 1500m.  Other hopes to Kurtley (1), Tragedy (8) and Empress Me (2).

Race 7

Shiraz Attack (13) is a classy filly resuming here over the 1350m.  This lass has raced against some quality horses in the past.  Her efforts in the Vo Rogue and Magic Millions Guineas were very good considering the rubbish barriers she drew.  She has warmed up for this with an easy trial 2nd at the Gold Coast.  Tim Bell takes the ride and should be able to settle midfield before coming home strongly.  Other hopes to Vintage Cognac (10), Rudy (2) and Friendly Dragon (5).

Race 8

Just A Perla (9) lead from start to finish last start here over this trip on the heavy going.  He beat Timeless Prince that day who has since won.  Two starts back Just A Perla finished 2nd to Buakaw who has been racing in good form.  He gets in with just 53.5kg after the claim for Luke Tarrant and will once again try to dictate things from in front.  He should be able to do that without that much pressure placed on him and if that’s the case then he’ll prove a tonne of beating.  He’s been in the placings 15 of 19 starts so is a model of consistency.  Other hopes to Cracco (8), Carmora (11) and Elmantosh (4).

Best Bets

Race 6 – Heart Of Many (3)

Race 7 – Shiraz Attack (13)

05/04/14 – Eagle Farm

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The wet track last Saturday at Doomben didn’t prevent us from making a profit.  It looks likely that we’ll be faced with another wet track at Eagle Farm this Saturday.  The track is currently rated a Slow 6 as at Thursday afternoon and with intermittent rain forecast for Friday and Saturday, the poor draining Eagle Farm track will not improve.  If the moisture stays away then we could get back to a dead surface and I’ll be keeping my fingers crossed for that!  The rail is out 2.5m.

Weather update Friday afternoon: We’ve been lucky in that there has been no rain today and forecasts have changed to indicate that there will be none tomorrow.  Track should be rated in the dead range.

Weather update Saturday morning: Absolutely magic day.  I’m glad I didn’t put too much weight into wet track form as the track is rated a dead 4.  Who knows it may even improve to dead with clear skies and temperatures around the 28-30 mark.

Race 1

As is the case at this time of year we kick things off with the 2 year olds.  Like last week we are faced with the difficult task of finding the winner when none of the entrants have encountered a wet track and not many have seen dead for that matter.  That suggest sitting the race out but where’s the fun in that?  I’m going to have an involvement bet on Our Rock O’Reilly (3).  This guy dead-heated for the win with Pinch River on debut and was then spelled.  Pinch River went on to race in the Magic Millions.  He’s undefeated in 3 trials and really made a statement a few weeks ago when he slaughtered the opposition.  He’s drawn wide in barrier 8 but Jim Byrne should be able to slot him in slightly better than midfield.  Breeding suggests he should get through a wet track.  Other hopes to Sarisara (2), Runway Angel (10) and Cannizzaro (5).

Race 2

A small field of 6 go around here in this Open Handicap over 1600m.  Lady Echelon (3) narrowly missed out on the cash for us last time she raced when she found the line strongly over 1500m here.  Tim Bell will be able to park 2nd behind Kiss Me Deadly as there looks to be a lack of speed.  She has a super record when the track has any sort of moisture in it and the longer Eagle Farm straight will help overtake KMD in the run home.  The obvious quinella play is Kiss Me Deadly (4).

Race 3

We were on Harbor Springs (10) last time out when it found the line but finished 3rd over 2103m.  The start prior she again finished strongly over 1800m to narrowly go down to Kiss Me Deadly who has since won again.  This mare is really finding the line and the longer straight at Eagle Farm should be of benefit.  Michael Cahill will settle her towards the back end of the field so we’ll be hoping for clear running entering the straight.  If that occurs then she’ll take a power of stopping.  A wet track is unknown but she didn’t mind dead at all.  Other hopes to Casarati (9), Scarborough (6) and Thirsty For Blood (8).

Race 4

I’m sticking with Quick Witted (6) here.  We were on last time it raced when it ran 2nd over 1600m.  Drops back to 1500m and gets a very big rider change.  Glen Colless replaces the apprentice Travis Wolfgram.  Although drawn barrier 11, Colless should be able to get the horse over to sit around 4th place.  The 2 starts prior to it’s last start it really attacked the line.  A repeat of that will see it being very hard to toss.  She has a good record at the track.  Other hopes to Timeless Prince (3), Itchintowin (9) and Tambo’s Jewel (1).

Race 5

I’m quite happy to stick with the dynamic duo of Matt Dunn and Glen Colless here with the resuming La Tikka Rosa (8).  She has a solid 1st up record with a win and a second from 3 resumptions.  She will settle back but the speed should be reasonably quick so our man Colless will be able to do what he does best and bring the horse home in a hurry.  Has won at the track and has a win on slow going.  Other hopes to Bahsa (5), Override (12) and G’day Old Mate (6).

Race 6

This class 6 over 1400m has a number of very good horses engaged.  I’m going with Buakaw (1).  This guy is in a rich vein of form and has been savaging the line.  This is his pet distance and he won his only start at the trip and track.  Can handle any going and is undefeated in 2 starts on slow.  Apprentice Luke Tarrant takes the ride and will claim 3kg bringing him into 56kg.  He’ll get back in the run but with Diet setting a reasonable pass and others having to do the lug work reeling him in, that enable this guy to unleash his explosive finish.  Other hopes to Harada Bay (7), Pitt Street (4) and Kentucky Woman (14).

Race 7

 We have a very even field of 3 year old fillies going around here over 1400m.  Tinto (15) has only won the 1 race from 7 starts  but in it’s defence it has been racing a very high standard of horse.  This was never more evident when 2 starts back it ran 4th on Magic Millions day to Sweet Idea.  That horses form is outstanding and for this horse to only finish 2 lengths behind over this trip bodes well for a race like this.  She narrowly lost 1st up over the unsuitable 1100m and I’m expecting that run to place her in a very good position fitness wise for this race.  She’ll get back in the run for Glen Colless but there should be adequate speed for her to come home strongly.  Other hopes to Fairytale Belle (2), Beatniks (1) and Some Call Her Wild (14).

Race 8

Commandare (1) has never been out of the placings in 10 starts over this trip.  That level of consistency will do me in the last.  This guy finished a close up 3rd to Londehero last start after having 2 months off.  He’ll be further improved for that run.  He’s drawn beautifully in barrier 2 and Sam Payne who claims 3kg from 59kg will be able to box seat.  If the track is wet he won’t mind.  Other hopes to Emerald Duke (6), More Leverage (13) and Jefferson Park (3).

Best Bet

Race  5 – La Tikka Rosa (8)

Doomben Wrap Up 29/03/14

The wet track didn’t stop Silk supporters from making a profit at Doomben yesterday.  We managed to find 3 winners from the 8 races and our selections found the Quadrella.  Winners on the day were best bet Le Cap $2.75, Rudy $6.00 but we were able to get $8.50 prior to the scratching of the favourite and Benny’s Buttons $4.00.

Unless you were on speed yesterday, you basically had not much hope so future form will be scratchy.

Race 1 – What a complete howler!  It was always dangerous getting involved in a 2 year old race where most of the field had never seen moisture.  I felt Charlotte Grace was the best credentialed but it didn’t raise a whisper.  In fact 3 of our 4 hopes ran in the bottom 3 placings.  Shocking!

Race 2 – Our top selection Tear It Up ran 5th by 3 lengths.  Two of our other hopes ran the quinella but that’s little consolation.

Race 3 – Our best bet Le Cap won by a narrow margin but that’s all they have to do for us to collect.  I thought the $3.00 top tote was pretty good considering.  After the 2 earlier no shows a collect was nice!

Race 4 – Our top pick Margins ran 3rd but was never really in it.  We did pick up the trifecta here which paid $116.80.  Again not a bad result considering they were fairly obvious selections.

Race 5 -  Heart Of Many ran 3rd here but again we stood little chance with Kiss Me Deadly leading and winning.  We had that as our 4th hope so it wasn’t all bad if you played the Quad.

Race 6 – I was quite keen on Primal Flight here but it was scratched.  I did mention that I would be also have something on Rudy as it loves the wet.  I was able to get as much as $8.50 for Rudy and was happy as Larry when he steamed home to get up on the line for Tegan Harrison.

Race 7 – Benny’s Buttons in my mind was the class in this race and I was justified when he won by 1.8 lengths.  That’s The One was our 2nd pick and it ran the quinella.

Race 8 - Once Just A Perla hit the front, everything else lost it’s hope.  We had it as our 2nd pick and it delivered the $699 (Tatts) quadrella for us.  I believe the quadrella paid considerably more on other totes.  Our top pick Gala Affair ran 7th.

29/03/14 – Doomben

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Julius Marlow’s and ties will be replaced by flippers and snorkels this Saturday as Doomben is going to be wet, wet, wet.  The track as at Thursday afternoon was rated a Heavy 9.  Rain is set to continue throughout Friday and Saturday so obviously the track will only get worse.  I just hope I’m not wasting my time with this write up and we get some racing in!  The rail is out 3m.

Track and Weather Update: As expected the track is in the heavy range after days of solid rain.  Today the rain has stopped but there is still a chance of further showers.

Race 1

The opening race of the day is for the 2 year olds over 1200m.  With these youngsters not encountering many wet tracks, these races can be dangerous.  However there’s 1 here that has encountered a heavy track before.  Charlotte Grace (9) put in an excellent effort earlier this month when she won a Gold Coast trial on a heavy track by 4 lengths.  She then won on debut here by 1.3 lengths over 1110m stamping herself as a decent horse.  She’s drawn barrier 9 but jockey Ryan Wiggins should be able to scoot across and take up a position in the first 3 or so horses, possibly sitting outside the lead.  I can’t see the $8 on offer lasting.  Other hopes to Ski Kitzbuhel (8), Fire Within (5) and First Draft (6).

Race 2

I’m going with the Tony Gollan trained Tear It Up (6) in this Restricted to 1 metro win race for the ladies over 1200m.  This mare has been racing in stronger races than this and has shown an ability to get through wet ground.  Last start she wasn’t far off Kempelly who is racing well.  3 starts back she finished strongly to go down by half a length to Tukiyo on slow going in the Nudgee Quality.  Her only heavy track race was a 2.9 length 5th to Lady Echelon (noted wet runner) in a filly and mares classic over this trip.  She should be able to lead or box seat from barrier 7 for Bobby El-Issa.  Other hopes to Matabrahma (2), Beach Babe (3) and Gallinari (9).

Race 3

It’s the boys turn in their Restricted to 1 metro win race and again it’s over 1200m.  It’s hard to ignore the form of Le Cap (5).  Three starts back he won a Class 3 at the Gold Coast by 3/4 of a length but did it easily.  He then put another Class 3 field to the sword by 3.5 lengths at Eagle Farm on a slow track.  Last start he went down narrowly to the talented Londehero.  He’s drawn wide here for Dale Missen who has the perfect record on the horse but Misso should be able to get the horse across to sit 3rd or 4th.  If he can do that then he’ll be hard to toss in the straight.  Other hopes to Royal Shout (10), Felon (7) and Covert Charmour (4).

Race 4

The weekly version of the distance race once again poses problems.  I’m going with Margins (1).  This guy has a class edge over his rivals.  He raced at Randwick last start and was comprehensively beaten however the start prior at Eagle Farm suggested he was ready to do something.  I’m guessing that’s the reason they took him south.  Anyway he’s back in Brisbane and racing in a easier company.  This guy has been competitive in Group 2′s and 3′s in the past which you’d have to say would be beyond many of these.  He has shown that he can get through rain affected ground in the past.  He gets in with 56kg after the claim for apprentice Luke Tarrant.  Other hopes to Secret Garden (3), Brave Ali (4) and Smiles For Layla (7).

Race 5

I’m a big fan of Harada Bay but I’m concerned that in the bog he will get too far back and won’t be able to make up the ground.  Instead I’m going with the Barry Baldwin trained Heart Of Many (6).  This guy steps up to class 6 company after winning a class 4 over 15oom at Eagle Farm by 2 lengths.  The track was rated slow that day and jockey Chris Munce booted him forward early to lead before kicking in the straight.  Adopting similar tactics or box seating will give this guy every chance of winning on the heavy track.  Drops considerably in weight on that performance.  Renewed Vitality (1), Hard Ticker (10) and Kiss Me Deadly  (9).

Race 6

Boy it’s hard to ignore the form of Primal Flight (5).  This guy has come back in scintillating form.  Following close to 300 days Primal Flight has simply brained whoever he has faced.  He won his trial by 6.5 lengths, then won his maiden by 5 lengths before winning last start in a class 1 by 6 lengths.  Admittedly those were much easier than this but you don’t smack fields back to back like that if you’re just average.  He came across a slow track on debut and was only run down late.  Jockey Tim Bell will be able to lead and prove awfully hard to catch.  I will also be having something on Rudy (1) who is resuming.  Although much better 2nd up, he simply grows flippers in the wet.  Other hopes to Heza Bobby Dazzler (3), Hit The Road Jack (7) and Prussian Heart (8).

***Primal Flight has been scratched.  Rudy (1) becomes our top selection***

Race 7

Benny’s Buttons (1) missed out on the cash for us 1st up when he was beaten by the old boy Ollie Vollie at the Gold Coast.  That was disappointing by I’m sticking solid.  The important stat is that he’s unbeaten in 2 starts on heavy going so no worries with the bog they’ll face.  He’ll be fitter for the 1st up effort and will be hard to catch for this field.  Other hopes to That’s The One (3), Black Magic (6) and Seeking More (5).

Race 8

This is a competitive race to end the day.  I’m going the way of Gala Affair (11).  This mare has been racing in fine form lately, winning 3 of her past 4.  Last start she narrowly went down when finishing off strongly in a race not run to suit.  The start prior she won a class 3 by 2.8 lengths on slow going so she can handle a wet track.  She is ideally drawn in barrier 2 so jockey Anthony Allen who will carry just 52.5kg after the claim will be able to give her the gun run.  Other hopes to Just A Perla (2), Southerly (14) and Bushy (6).

Best Bets

 Race 1 – Charlotte Grace (9) e/w

Race 3 – Le Cap (5)

22/03/14 – Eagle Farm

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Eagle Farm hosts Brisbane racing this Saturday after last weekend’s successful day at the Gold Coast.  The track is currently rated a dead 4 but there is the chance of showers and storms between Thursday afternoon and Saturday kick off time.  As we know, Eagle Farm isn’t the best draining track so there is a very real chance that it could be rated slow or worse come Saturday.  Obviously it will be in your interest to monitor.  The rail is out 0.5m.

Track Update Saturday morning:  Dead 4.  It looks like the rain has and will stay away today.  That’s good news for punters wanting to get involved.

Race 1

We start the day with the 2 year olds racing over 1400m.  I’m going with Shadowside (5) here with the thinking that it can turn the tables on No Problem.  Last start it ran 2nd to No Problem by half a length over 1350m.  It had 3 weeks off prior to that run so with increased fitness and meeting No Problem better off at the weights by a 1kg, I think it’s the better option.  Shadowside draws nicely in barrier 4 and jockey Tim Bell should be able to take up a position in the first few horses.  Other hopes to No Problem (1), First Draft (4) and Jack Be Quick (3).

Race 2

I’m going with the hot team of Matt Dunn and Glen Colless in this 1000m class 6 dash.  Rock Academy (7) resumes here following a 4 month spell.  He has won 3 from 7 and has at times looked a really good type of horse.  He won his last start prior to the break where he defeated Divine City.  Two starts before that he defeated Emerald Duke.  His 1st up record is a good one and he can handle a slow track.  He’s drawn barrier 4 and should be able to settle in a good position before unwinding in the straight.  Other hopes to Pure Purrfection (8), Write Cheek (9) and Terms Of Trade (2).

Race 3

A big field of 16 go around here over 1600m in this Restricted to 0 Metro Wins race.  Going with the Toby Edmonds trained Quick Witted (9).  She has put in 2 really good runs since returning from a spell over the unsuitable trips 0f 1100m and 1200m.  She steps out to 1600m here 3rd up and will be awfully hard to beat.  She gets in with just 52.5kg after the claim for Travis Wolfgram and has drawn well in barrier 7 to go forward and avoid any problems in the big pack.  She’s had just the 7 starts and has been in the quinella in 5 of those.  She has considerable upside.  Other hopes to Vaz De Torres (13), French Lesson (2) and Mr Honor (8).

Race 4

I’m going with the Natalie McCall trained mare Lady Echelon (9).  This 4 year old has won 5 from 11 and has looked pretty good in doing so.  She was very good 1st up when she ran 5th by half a length in open company over 1350m.  She never shirked the task and it was a good indicator for a strong 2nd up showing here.  She goes particularly well on a wet track should it eventuate.  Drawn perfectly in barrier 3 to take a sit in the box seat behind Listen Son and Renewed Vitality.  Other hopes to Renewed Vitality (7), Listen Son (1) and War Ends (3).

 Race 5

The Quadrella kicks off with one of those pesky distance races.  It’s a benchmark 75 over 2103m.  Just quietly I hope those extra 3m don’t catch any of these out.  Generally I’m not overly keen to get involved in these but this race is an exception.  Harbor Springs (12) has only had the 8 starts but has been in the placings in half of those.  Her most recent racing has been excellent.  She brained a class 2 field over 1800m at the Gold Coast 2 starts back when she settled midfield before looming up and running on to win by 2.3 lengths.  She then came to town 2 weeks ago and narrowly ran 2nd over 1600m when again steaming home.  The way she finishes off, the extra distance should be very much to her liking.  Other hopes to Caballo Rapido (2), Beau Boy (9) and Kentaur (10).

Race 6

Yet another big field here.  This time it’s 16 three year old fillies that go around over 1200m.  This looks a competitive race but I’ll be going with Little Bit Ditsy (3).  This filly has never been out of the placings in 5 career starts, winning 2 of them.  She’s had a bit of a freshen up but the 2 starts prior to the rest were very good.  She resumed with a 3rd to Beach Babe over 1000m before winning a class 6 1200m race at Doomben.  There should be a reasonable amount of speed on which will help this girl who likes to run on strongly.    Other hopes to Fairytale Belle (8), Queen Of The Lochs (1) and Total Authority (4).

Race 7

Star Sammy (6) will have no excuses if he fails to be competitive here.  He should get an absolute gun run from barrier 3 for jockey Brad Stewart.  This guy does his best work over the 1200m with 3 wins from 7 and a further 2 2nds.  He won his only start at this track.  Last start he was taking ground off The Storeman late over 1000m.  The extra distance and weight swing will held Star Sammy turn the tables.  Other hopes to The Storeman (3), Covert Charmour (12) and Jefferson Park (7).

Race 8

Doctor David (1) has been racing really well and stepped up to open company last start and didn’t look out of place.  He hitting the line hard and just missed out.  This is a drop back in grade but Davo gets in well at the weights  with 55.5kg after apprentice Travis Wolfgram claims 3kg.  He loves this track and should be able to box seat.  Will be hard to toss.  Other hopes to Buakaw (2), Single Spirit (5) and Just A Perla (13).

Best Bets

Race 3 – Quick Witted (9)

Race 5 – Harbor Springs (12)

Race 8 – Doctor David (1)